SMU Data and Models

Foreign vs. Domestic Price Spread
Written by John Packard
September 22, 2013
A majority of the manufacturing companies (57 percent) responding to our most recent steel market survey told us that the spread between foreign and domestic steel is wide enough to justify buying foreign steel. The percentage of manufacturing companies answering this way has increased by 3 percent compared to our results from 30 days ago. Service centers were a little less enthusiastic about foreign with 42 percent reporting foreign prices as being competitive with domestic prices to the point where their company could justify buying foreign steel. However, when compared to our results from 30 days ago the percentage of service centers responding this way has doubled (21 percent).
Separate from the manufacturing and service center responses were those of the trading companies which responded to our questionnaire. The trading companies were unanimous, with 100 percent of those responding reporting foreign prices at levels where business could be conducted. Even so, only 28 percent of the trading company respondents reported seeing an increase in the number of requests for foreign pricing.
The percentage of our manufacturing and service center respondents reporting that their company was actually in the process of buying foreign steel dropped down from those reporting the spread as being wide enough to justify making a purchase. Of the manufacturing companies 38 percent reported that they were buying foreign steel at this time, which is actually lower than the 43 percent from our survey results conducted in mid-August. Of the service center respondents 35 percent reported their company as placing foreign orders at this time up from 24 percent 30 days ago.
We had a couple of comments left behind during the survey process. One was from a large manufacturing group which reported, “The latest round of offers from foreign mills is significantly lower than the current domestic spot prices.” They then went on to explain why they were not taking advantage of the lower foreign prices at this time, “The only reason we are not taking advantage of foreign offers is our current reduction of inventory levels.”
A second manufacturing company told us during the survey process, “Very little foreign HRC being offered.”

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

Survey says: Tariff whiplash replay activated
If you’re feeling a sudden jerk and a case of tariff whiplash coming on, you’re not alone.

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Past survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment sinks to near pandemic levels
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices moved in opposing directions this week. Our Current Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Index sharply fell to one of the lowest levels recorded in five years, while Future Buyers’ Sentiment marginally improved.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times tick higher after late-May lows
All five of the averages for sheet and plate mill lead times tracked by SMU extended moderately this week, according to buyers responding to our latest market survey.

SMU Survey: Mills less negotiable on sheet prices, buyers say
Most steel buyers responding to our market survey this week reported that domestic mills are considerably less willing to talk price on sheet products than they were in recent weeks, but remain open to bargain on plate prices.