Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
October 3, 2014
I will take a moment to recommend the Armada Corporate Intelligence report and the Armada website as something those in the marketing sections of your company may want to subscribe to. The cost is negligible and the value is quite high in my opinion. A good example is on their website on Saturday, October 4th they had an article about the Credit Managers Index. In the article they talk about the drop in the index and its relationship to predicting future PMI (purchasing managers index) direction. The latest CMI dropped significantly and, according to Armada, “This was not a small reversal of fortune by any stretch of the imagination, this could be termed a collapse and it begs a very important question. Who is correct – the Purchasing Managers Index or the Credit Managers Index?” You can read the full Armada Flash Advance Report by clicking here.
On Monday we will begin our early October flat rolled steel market survey. Invitations should go out around 8 AM ET.
I will be out of the office on Monday afternoon and all day Tuesday and Wednesday as we are conducting one of our Steel 101 workshops in Fort Wayne, Indiana. Diana and Brett will be in the office to answer any questions you might have.
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher
John Packard
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We’ve talked about tariffs ad nauseam for much of the year. And I’m afraid this topic isn’t going away anytime soon. There’s a feeling that the tariff “can” will just be kicked down the road again and again, and again.
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United Airlines raised eyebrows earlier this month when it provided two forecasts for 2025 – one assuming a relatively stable economy and another assuming a recession. The reason? Uncertainty around the impact of President Trump’s policy shocks on the broader economy. And it sometimes feels like we’re seeing a battle between those two narratives (stable vs recession) play out within in the pages of this newsletter.
Final Thoughts
Despite some scary headlines lately (especially about Trump potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell) this is not October 2008 (financial crisis) or March 2020 (onset of the pandemic). But it sure seems like we’ve taken a relatively strong economy and poured a thick sauce of uncertainty over it.