SMU Data and Models

Steel Mills Resisting Negotiating Flat Rolled Steel Prices
Written by John Packard
February 4, 2016
As we mentioned in our previous article, flat rolled steel mill lead times have moved out by a week on hot rolled and as much as two weeks on cold rolled and galvanized. Galvalume lead times have remained decent but have not extended at this time but, that is to be expected for seasonal reasons.
When it comes to steel mills’ willingness to negotiate steel pricing with their customers we are finding that less than half of our respondents to our flat rolled market trends questionnaire conducted this week are reporting mills as willing to negotiate cold rolled (33 percent), galvanized (44 percent) and Galvalume products (43 percent). The only product suggested as having prices as more negotiable than what we were measuring over the past couple of months is hot rolled (54 percent). But, even HR at 54 percent is much better than what was being reported to us in September, October, November and December 2015 (see graphic below).
One mill executive told SMU earlier this week that they were willing to sacrifice lead times in order to collect a minimum base price of $28.00/cwt on galvanized steel.
A side note: The data for both lead times and negotiations comes from only service center and manufacturer respondents. We do not include commentary from the steel mills, trading companies or toll processors in this particular group of questions.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Negotiations data, visit our website here.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Current Sentiment tumbles on tariffs, uncertainty, soft demand
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices moved in opposing directions this week. Our Current Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Index dropped to one of the lowest levels recorded in over five years, while Future Buyers’ Sentiment inched higher.

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Past survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]

SMU Survey: Buyers report little change in sheet and plate lead times
Steel buyers report steady lead times for sheet and plate products, a soft-sideways trend we've seen since May.

SMU Survey: Mills remain flexible on pricing, buyers say
The majority of steel buyers responding to our market survey this week continue to say that mills are negotiable on new spot order prices. Negotiation rates have remained high since May.

Service centers: Mill orders improve in July
SMU’s Mill Order Index (MOI) moved higher in July after rebounding the month prior. The shift comes after mill orders declined from March through May.