SMU Data and Models

Steel Mill Lead Times Continue to Move Out
Written by John Packard
April 7, 2016
Steel mill lead times on all four flat rolled products have become more extended, according to those who responded to our most recent flat rolled steel market analysis. As lead times extend, steel buyers have to place more orders in order to protect their inventories. The more orders placed, the better chance for the domestic steel mills to collect higher flat rolled steel spot prices.
As our regular readers know, Steel Market Update writes articles about flat rolled steel mill lead times based on two sources: our twice monthly surveys and directly from steel buyers who receive lead time sheets from the mills (or receive them verbally). The following data is based on the lead times collected from our latest survey which concluded on Thursday (earlier today) of this week.
Hot rolled lead times averaged out to 4.59 weeks, 0.69 weeks higher than our last survey. This time last year they were 2.91 weeks.
The average lead time for cold rolled was 7.12 weeks, up from 6.60 in mid-March. One year ago lead times were 4.82 weeks.
Galvanized lead times were steady at 7.33 weeks. This time last year they were 5.24 weeks.
Galvalume lead times averaged 7.00 weeks, up 0.40 weeks from our last survey. One year ago they were 5.75 weeks.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Lead Time data, visit our website here.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

May service center shipments and inventories report
Flat rolled = 57.1 shipping days of supply Plate = 55.7 shipping days of supply Flat rolled US service centers reined in flat roll supply in May, coinciding with declining shipments. At the end of May, service centers carried 57.1 shipping days of supply, according to adjusted SMU data. That’s down slightly from 57.6 shipping […]

Survey says: Market hit with another blast of tariff whiplash
If you’re feeling a sudden jerk and a case of tariff whiplash coming on, you’re not alone.

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Past survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment sinks to near pandemic levels
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices moved in opposing directions this week. Our Current Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Index sharply fell to one of the lowest levels recorded in five years, while Future Buyers’ Sentiment marginally improved.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times tick higher after late-May lows
All five of the averages for sheet and plate mill lead times tracked by SMU extended moderately this week, according to buyers responding to our latest market survey.