Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
September 14, 2016
When speaking to one of the main ferrous scrap analysts in the industry our newsletter was paid a compliment when I asked if the scrap community was aware of our newsletter. I was told, “They do already. Many of them have a lot of confidence in your reports. They refer to it more often then they refer to AMM or SBB.”
A note to let everyone know that our next Steel 101 workshop has two spots left and then it will be sold out. You can find information about the workshop on our website: www.SteelMarketUpdate.com in the Events section or you can contact our office at: 800-432-3475.
I did some checking regarding what hot rolled offers were being made by foreign entities into the U.S. market. I am finding there are not a lot of offers – some out of Europe and Mexico in the $480-$500 per ton FOB the border/port. Turkey is on holiday this week and we expect there could be more Turkish offers next week. However, as we explained in our World vs. Domestic Price Analysis in tonight’s issue, unless there is a significant freight advantage buyers seem to be leaning foreign.
We heard from one large service center buyer that we needed to watch one of the mini mills as they have been competing with “foreign fighter” numbers on upstream products (cold rolled/coated). I will dig deeper into this in the coming days as it has been my opinion that the spread between HR and CR/coated base prices was a tad high. We may begin to see this moderate in the coming weeks.
If you have information about the market (or just have questions) please feel free to contact me. I can be reached at 800-432-3475 or by email at: John@SteelMarketUpdate.com
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
I’m not sure how many different ways I can write that it’s been a quiet market ahead of Independence Day. There are variations on that theme. I’ve heard everything from the ominous “eerily quiet” to "getting better" and even the occasional “blissfully unaware” (because I’m enjoying my vacation).

Final Thoughts
What's going to be the next big thing in steel?

Final Thoughts
Based on the amount of ‘out of office’ replies we’ve been receiving and the results of this week’s steel buyers’ survey, those pesky summer doldrums have arrived for the steel industry.

Final Thoughts
Maybe some of this uncertainty will get ironed out ahead of Liberation Day tariffs resetting higher rates on July 9. But if I had to place a wager, it would be on more drama and last-minute brinksmanship - whether it comes to the Liberation Day tariffs or the various Section 232s that are in the works.

Final Thoughts
What should you keep your eye on, considering the latest geopolitical events?