SMU Data and Models

Steel Mills Still Willing to Negotiate Flat Rolled Steel Prices
Written by John Packard
October 20, 2016
The domestic steel mills in North America continue to be willing to negotiate spot steel prices on hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized and Galvalume products according to those responding to this week’s Steel Market Update flat rolled market trends survey.
It has now been a number of months since the mills were last in a strong negotiating position. Hot rolled is no longer the weakest product as all of the flat rolled products have been bitten by the “let’s make a deal” bug.
Manufacturing companies and service centers reported unanimously that steel mills are willing to negotiate hot rolled spot prices. This has been the case on HRC negotiations since the beginning of September 2016.
Cold rolled is not quite unanimous but with 92 percent of the respondents reporting the mills as willing to negotiate CRC pricing, it might as well be. You have to go back to mid-August to see less than 50 percent of our respondents reporting spot prices as negotiable.
Galvanized is similar to cold rolled with 89 percent of the respondents reporting spot prices as negotiable and Galvalume is close behind with 86 percent. Seasonality is now coming into play with Galvalume which may be one of the reasons for that percentage increasing over the past couple of months.
A side note: The data for both lead times and negotiations comes from only service center and manufacturer respondents. We do not include commentary from the steel mills, trading companies, or toll processors in this particular group of questions.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Negotiations data, visit our website here.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Steel Demand Index still lags
The Steel Demand Index now stands at 42, up from 38.5 in early July, but off from a four-year high of 65.0 in late February.

SMU Price Ranges: Sheet prices tick lower, but floor remains high vs. ’24
Sheet prices slipped again this week amid discounting from certain mills and ongoing concerns about demand.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyer Sentiment Indices soften
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices eased this week, both approaching multi-year lows.

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times remain short
Steel mill lead times on sheet products contracted across the board this week compared to early July, while plate production times moderately extended, according to steel buyers responding to this week’s market survey.