Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
October 31, 2016
I want to spend a few moments to discuss an issue that I know is a sore point to the CEO’s at the steel mills. Lourenco Goncalves brought it up in a discussion we had this morning and that is why service centers (and others) do not sign or allow comments made to Steel Market Update and other periodicals to be quoted with the name of the person being cited. I can understand their angst as it is hard to read criticism about your company without having a reference point from where it came. At the same time, those that buy steel do not want their comments to negatively impact the relationship between their company and their suppliers. In the case of a middle level executive providing information there is always the concern that if who was providing the information leaked, someone could lose their job.
So, we have to act just like the newspapers and TV stations covering the election where, for example, FBI sources are telling reporters of investigations into Hillary Clinton as well as into the former head of the Trump campaign, whose relationship with the Russians is being investigated. Lots of information coming out and you have to determine what source to believe or to take with a grain of salt…
The only comment I will make about the quality of our own sources is we are used by the Wall Street Journal and 60 Minutes for information and fact checking.
I have to be short and sweet on my final thoughts this evening as I am traveling.
I will be more long-winded in Thursday’s issue of SMU.
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
A short tour of key dates in the Nippon/USS deal, and what the future might hold.

Final Thoughts
I sort of expected big news last Friday and over the long, Memorial Day weekend. Because that's become more the norm than the exception for steel this year. Sure enough, Trump posted on Truth Social on Friday afternoon that he had given his blessing to a “partnership” between Nippon Steel and U.S. Steel. And then over the weekend we had market moving new on tariffs, this time involving the EU.

Final Thoughts
We're going to have to wait a bit longer for the final outcome of the Nippon/USS deal.

Final Thoughts
Sure, demand isn’t as good the market had hoped it would be earlier this year. But assuming it doesn’t fall of a cliff, buyers will have to restock at some point. And that might give domestic mills enough leverage to raise prices again.

Final Thoughts
While I would anticipate market sentiment to pivot and improve if all the questions around tariffs were answered, that still leaves us with a few other factors.