Economy

Durable Goods Orders Increase in October
Written by Sandy Williams
November 25, 2016
Orders for durable goods in October rose faster than expected by economists. The Commerce Department reported orders were up 4.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted rate of $239.4 billion. Civilian aircraft orders led the increase, jumping 1.4 percent from September to October.
Core capital goods, which are nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft considered to be a proxy for business spending, rose 0.4 percent in October.
“Manufacturing is not booming,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics as quoted by the Wall Street Journal. “But neither is it sliding into the recession some feared earlier this year. Instead, we expect a gradual pickup in activity.”
The October report is based on data prior to the presidential election and is reprinted below:
New Orders. New orders for manufactured durable goods in October increased $11.0 billion or 4.8 percent to $239.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up four consecutive months, followed a 0.4 percent September increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.0 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 5.2 percent. Transportation equipment, also up four consecutive months, led the increase, $9.5 billion or 12.0 percent to $88.2 billion.
Shipments. Shipments of manufactured durable goods in October, up four of the last five months, increased $0.2 billion or 0.1 percent to $234.6 billion. This followed a 0.8 percent September increase. Fabricated metal products, up three of the last four months, drove the increase, $0.3 billion or 1.1 percent to $30.5 billion. Unfilled Orders. Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in October, up following four consecutive monthly decreases, increased $8.2 billion or 0.7 percent to $1,128.6 billion. This followed a 0.2 percent September decrease. Transportation equipment, also up following four consecutive monthly decreases, led the increase, $7.5 billion or 1.0 percent to $773.1 billion.
Inventories. Inventories of manufactured durable goods in October, up four consecutive months, increased $0.1 billion or virtually unchanged to $383.7 billion. This followed a virtually unchanged September increase. Transportation equipment, up three of the last four months, drove the increase, $0.2 billion or 0.2 percent to $123.8 billion.
Capital Goods. Nondefense new orders for capital goods in October increased $10.2 billion or 14.5 percent to $80.1 billion. Shipments decreased $0.4 billion or 0.6 percent to $71.5 billion. Unfilled orders increased $8.7 billion or 1.3 percent to $703.1 billion. Inventories decreased $0.6 billion or 0.4 percent to $169.6 billion. Defense new orders for capital goods in October decreased $0.4 billion or 3.7 percent to $10.8 billion. Shipments increased $0.3 billion or 2.9 percent to $10.6 billion. Unfilled orders increased $0.2 billion or 0.1 percent to $138.7 billion. Inventories increased $0.4 billion or 1.9 percent to $21.2 billion.
Revised September Data. Revised seasonally a djusted September figures for all manufacturing industries were: new orders, $457.3 billion (revised from $455.5 billion); shipments, $463.3 billion (revised from $463.0 billion); unfilled orders, $1,120.4 billion (revised from $1,118.8 billion) and total inventories, $620.9 billion (revised from $621.4 billion).

Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Economy

SMU Community Chat: Tariff-induced panic purchases, inflation, and calculating costs
Chief executive of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Tom Derry highlighted how reactive buying behavior has shifted the market into a quiet demand period. Derry presented ISM data during the weekly SMU community chat.

Architecture billings still sluggish despite project inquiry uptick
The Architecture Billings Index (ABI), a leading indicator for non-residential construction activity, declined for an eighth straight month in June.

Beige Book: Tariff pressures mount, flat outlook
All districts reported “experiencing modest to pronounced input cost pressures related to tariffs, especially for raw materials used in manufacturing and construction.”

Steel exports recovered in May but still historically low
US steel exports rose 10% from April to May but remained low compared to recent years. This came just one month after exports fell to the lowest level recorded in nearly five years.

AISI: Raw steel production ticks up near recent high
The volume of raw steel produced by US mills inched higher last week, according to the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). After steadily increasing in April and May, domestic mill output stabilized in early June and has remained historically strong since.