Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
January 3, 2018
We are hearing that ferrous scrap prices will rise by $20 to $30 per gross ton this month. Negotiations continue at most of the mills, but we did learn of one Detroit mill settling yesterday up $20 on primes (busheling/bundles) and up $30 on the other grades. The cold weather, strong exports and low inventory levels at the steel mills are pushing prices higher. We will have more on the scrap market and where things settled in Sunday evening’s issue.
The week has started with a bang as Nucor, U.S. Steel, NLMK USA and AK Steel all have announced $40 per ton price increases, while the West Coast mills of California Steel Industries and USS/POSCO have taken their prices up by $30 per ton. Reaction from steel buyers and actual price offers will be coming to light in the coming days. We heard from a few buyers of spot hot rolled being offered anywhere from $32.50/cwt ($650 per ton) to $35.00/cwt ($700 per ton) depending on the mill and location. It will take one to two weeks before we are able to determine if the increases “stick” (and what does “stick” mean).
For those of you who are thinking of registering for our Steel 101 workshop, it will be held in Merrillville, Ind., on March 28-29. If you have any issues with the registration system or are unsure if your registration payment was made, please contact our office at 772-932-7538. We have had some glitches in the registration system for both our Steel 101 workshop and our newsletter subscriptions. The issues are related to our new software upgrade, and our developers are working on them.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
President Trump’s tariff policies have a lot more in common with a roundabout than you’d think.

Final Thoughts
The difference: The spat with Turkey was a big deal for steel. This time, the 50% reciprocal tariff for Brazil – if it goes into effect as threatened on Aug.1 – hits everything from coffee and to pig iron. It seems almost custom-built to inflict as much pain as possible on Brazil.

Final Thoughts
Are we on the cusp of sorting out the tariff situation, or is this merely another round in the bout?

Final Thoughts
I’m not sure how many different ways I can write that it’s been a quiet market ahead of Independence Day. There are variations on that theme. I’ve heard everything from the ominous “eerily quiet” to "getting better" and even the occasional “blissfully unaware” (because I’m enjoying my vacation).

Final Thoughts
What's going to be the next big thing in steel?