Market Data

Chicago Business Barometer Jumps in June
Written by Sandy Williams
June 29, 2018
The Chicago Business Barometer hit its highest level since January, rising 1.4 points to 64.1 in June. Four of five components of the headline index strengthened in June, said MNI Indicators.
Orders flowed in for a five-month high and order backlogs were 11.4 percent higher than in June 2017. Supplier lead times continued to lengthen, resulting in somewhat lower production in June. Inventories diminished as firms faced difficulty replenishing stock, said manufacturers.
The prices paid indicator was at its highest level since May 2011 and at a seven-year high on a quarterly basis.
Employment levels increased for a second month in a row, but firms were less optimistic about future hiring. In a special survey question, 38.6 percent of participants said they had increased salaries to attract and retain employees.
About a quarter of participants said trade talks were having a significant impact on short-term purchasing decisions, while 39.2 percent said talks were impacting business but only minimally so far.
“Stronger outturns in May and June left the MNI Chicago Business Barometer broadly unchanged in Q2, running at a pace similar to that seen throughout 2017. While impressive, supply-side frustrations are undermining firms’ productive capacity,” said Jamie Satchi, economist at MNI Indicators. “Confusion surrounding the trade landscape continues to breed uncertainty among businesses and their suppliers and has led to many firms altering their immediate purchasing decisions,” he added.
Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Market Data
Final Thoughts
Most steel buyers think that steel prices will continue to rise into the 2026. But they don’t see the kinds of big gains that have characterized past market upturns, according to the results of SMU’s latest steel market survey.
Chicago Business Barometer improves but still contracts in October
The Chicago Business Barometer’s October reading still indicates a cooling in general business activity despite posting a surprise gain.
Drilling activity slows at October’s end in US and Canada
The latest Baker Hughes rig count report showed oil and gas drilling slowing in both the US and Canada last week.
SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.
SMU Steel Demand Index improves but remains in contraction
SMU’s Steel Demand Index remains in contraction, according to late October indicators. Though growth faded at a slower pace, it rebounded from one of the lowest readings year-to-date from earlier in the month.
