SMU Data and Models

Steel Mill Negotiations: Buyers Gain the Advantage
Written by Tim Triplett
September 20, 2018
The pendulum has definitely swung back in buyers’ favor when it comes to negotiating steel prices with the mills.
Steel Market Update tracks how buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel represent the mill negotiation position. More than nine out of 10 buyers report that mills are willing to negotiate spot prices on hot rolled and cold rolled steel, and the majority say mills are flexible on coated products, as well.
According to respondents to this week’s market trends questionnaire, 93 percent of hot rolled buyers said they have found mills willing to talk price, double the 43 percent two months ago. The current dynamic is a complete flipflop from March, when more than 90 percent said the mills considered HR prices non-negotiable.
In the cold rolled segment, 96 percent said they have found mills willing to negotiate, up from 67 percent one month ago. Only 4 percent of respondents reported current mill prices on cold rolled as firm.
The mills have been holding the line somewhat on coated product prices in recent weeks. In the galvanized sector, 78 percent said the mills were open to price discussions, about the same percentage as a month ago. In Galvalume, 67 percent have found mills willing to negotiate, down from 78 percent last month.
The loosening of talks between the mills and steel buyers is a clear sign that steel demand is not as strong as earlier in the year.
Note: SMU surveys active steel buyers twice each month to gauge the willingness of their steel suppliers to negotiate pricing. The results reflect current steel demand and changing spot pricing trends. SMU provides our members with a number of ways to interact with current and historical data. To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Negotiations data, visit our website here.

Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models

May service center shipments and inventories report
Flat rolled = 57.1 shipping days of supply Plate = 55.7 shipping days of supply Flat rolled US service centers reined in flat roll supply in May, coinciding with declining shipments. At the end of May, service centers carried 57.1 shipping days of supply, according to adjusted SMU data. That’s down slightly from 57.6 shipping […]

Survey says: Market hit with another blast of tariff whiplash
If you’re feeling a sudden jerk and a case of tariff whiplash coming on, you’re not alone.

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Past survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment sinks to near pandemic levels
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices moved in opposing directions this week. Our Current Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Index sharply fell to one of the lowest levels recorded in five years, while Future Buyers’ Sentiment marginally improved.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times tick higher after late-May lows
All five of the averages for sheet and plate mill lead times tracked by SMU extended moderately this week, according to buyers responding to our latest market survey.