Economy

November at a Glance: Prices Slide
Written by John Packard
December 2, 2018
November saw steel prices continue to decline, with benchmark hot rolled dipping below $800 per ton, cold rolled below $900 per ton, and galvanized below $1,000 per ton. Plate continued to hold its own at over $1,000 per ton as mills kept customers on allocation while they worked to meet strong demand. Steel Market Update moved its Price Momentum Indictor to Lower in November, expecting that flat rolled steel prices would decline over the next 30 days.
Steel Buyers Sentiment remains at optimistic levels, but is showing signs of unease in the marketplace. The three-month moving average for the sentiment index declined to 62.83 last month from 64.17 in September.
In the energy sector, the U.S. rig count continued inching upward in November to 1,080 rigs. Last week, the oil price dipped to around $50 per barrel, and continued volatility in the oil sector makes the prospects for line pipe and OCTG sales uncertain.
For a snapshot of other market indicators as of the end of November, see the chart below.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Economy

SMU Community Chat: Tariff-induced panic purchases, inflation, and calculating costs
Chief executive of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Tom Derry highlighted how reactive buying behavior has shifted the market into a quiet demand period. Derry presented ISM data during the weekly SMU community chat.

Architecture billings still sluggish despite project inquiry uptick
The Architecture Billings Index (ABI), a leading indicator for non-residential construction activity, declined for an eighth straight month in June.

Beige Book: Tariff pressures mount, flat outlook
All districts reported “experiencing modest to pronounced input cost pressures related to tariffs, especially for raw materials used in manufacturing and construction.”

Steel exports recovered in May but still historically low
US steel exports rose 10% from April to May but remained low compared to recent years. This came just one month after exports fell to the lowest level recorded in nearly five years.

AISI: Raw steel production ticks up near recent high
The volume of raw steel produced by US mills inched higher last week, according to the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). After steadily increasing in April and May, domestic mill output stabilized in early June and has remained historically strong since.