Steel Markets

HMI Index Shows Jump in Builder Confidence
Written by Sandy Williams
June 16, 2020
Builder confidence is increasing as the economy recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index jumped 21 points in June to a score of 58, returning to positive market conditions. Any score above 50 indicates that builders view conditions as good as opposed to bad.
“As the nation reopens, housing is well-positioned to lead the economy forward. Inventory is tight, mortgage applications are increasing, interest rates are low and confidence is rising. And buyer traffic more than doubled in one month even as builders report growing online and phone inquiries stemming from the outbreak,’ commented NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz.
The components comprising the HMI Market Index all surged during in June. Current sales conditions jumped 21 points to 63, sales expectations for the next six months leapt 22 points to 68, and traffic of prospective buyers gained 22 points to post an index reading of 43.
Regionally, only the Northeast remained below the 50 neutral point, gaining 31 points to register 48. The South gained 20 points to 62, the Midwest 19 points to 51, and the West soared 22 points to 66.
Said Dietz, “Housing clearly shows signs of momentum as challenges and opportunities exist in the single-family market. Builders report increasing demand for families seeking single-family homes in inner and outer suburbs that feature lower density neighborhoods. At the same time, elevated unemployment and the risk of new, local virus outbreaks remain a risk to the housing market.”

Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Steel Markets

Steel market participants mull the impact of US/Mexico S232 negotiations
Steel market participants learned that negotiations between the US and Mexico include discussions about Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum despite President Trump’s June 3 proclamation increasing the tariffs from 25% to 50% for all steel and aluminum imports—except for those from the UK.

ArcelorMittal plans wire-drawing closure in Hamilton, shifts production to Montreal
ArcelorMittal’s (AM) Hamilton location to be shuttered, wire production shifting to Montreal.

Tariffs, ample domestic supply cause importers to shift or cancel HR import orders
Subdued demand is causing importers to cancel hot-rolled (HR) coil orders and renegotiate the terms of shipments currently enroute to the US, importers say. An executive for a large overseas mill said customers might find it difficult to justify making imports buys after US President Donald Trump doubled the 25% Section 232 tariff on imported steel […]

CRU Insight: A 50% S232 tariff will raise US steel prices and shift trade flows
This CRU Insight examines how the increase in Section 232 tariffs on steel to challenging levels will lead to significatively higher prices for end consumers in the US market.

Steel market shakes tariffs off amid weak demand
Service centers and distributors contend that weak demand is to blame for the flattening of domestic steel spot prices, as reflected in Nucor Steel’s weekly Consumer Spot Price (CSP) notice. On Monday, the Charlotte, North Carolina-headquartered steel producer left prices unchanged from the previous week. Nucor has maintained prices of plate produced in Brandenburg since March 28.