Economy

OECD Raises Alarm Over Excess Steel Capacity
Written by Sandy Williams
October 6, 2020
The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development’s Steel Committee expressed concern over unbalanced steel market conditions in a new report following its 88th Session last week. Steel capacity continues to increase despite a slump in demand caused by the global pandemic. The OECD says global steelmaking capacity is expected to increase to 2,455.8 million metric tons in 2020, resulting in excess production of 700 million tons.
Although most steel-producing economies experienced significant contraction in production due to the impacts of COVID-19, steel production in China hit record volumes in the first half of this year. Additional capacity coming online in the Middle East and Asia will compound the problem, says the organization. New capacity projects were begun with expectations of stronger market demand, including the export market, which may not occur, says OECD.
“Global growth prospects and the steel market outlook are bleak,” says Ulf Zumkley, chairman of the OECD Steel Committee. OECD is forecasting a 4.5 percent drop in world GDP in 2020 with a 5 percent increase in 2021.
Trade tensions have grown as steel trade has declined. OECD stressed the need to avoid protectionism, “including all unfair trade practices and recognizing the role of legitimate trade defense instruments.”
Cross border investment by state-owned enterprises, particularly by China, lean toward building new capacity rather than acquiring existing facilities, a trend which further distorts regional markets and capacity. Trade remedy measures appear to be linked to such cross-border investments. “Merger and acquisition policies aimed at reducing excess capacity should be designed in a way to explicitly incentivize the elimination of inefficient plants in order to avoid further accumulation of unproductive capacity,” suggests OECD.
It was noted that subsidization encourages the continuation of loss-making enterprises. OECD stressed the “importance of allowing market entry and exit mechanisms to function, and incentives to upgrade technology towards more flexible, more efficient and cleaner production processes.”

Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Economy

Steel Summit: ITR economist urges execs to prepare for growth, not recession
If the steel industry professionals who made it to the very final presentation of this year’s SMU Steel Summit were expecting another round of cautious forecasting, they were in for a surprise. Because what they got was a wake-up call.

ISM: Manufacturing growth remained down in August
US manufacturing activity remained muted in August despite a marginal gain from July's recent low, according to supply executives contributing to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM)’s latest report.

Steel Summit: Dr. Basu blames tariffs for riskier path ahead
Steel executives packed the main conference hall of the 2025 SMU Steel Summit on Tuesday, Aug. 26, to hear economist Dr. Anirban Basu lay out his blunt view of tariffs, inflation, and demand.

Steel Summit: Schneider sees SDI ‘on the edge of a very good run’
Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI) President and Chief Operating Officer, Barry Schneider, remains bullish about the Fort Wayne, Ind.-based steelmaker’s position in the current market.

US housing starts gain momentum in July
US housing starts rose in July both month-on-month and year-on-year, according to figures from the US Census Bureau.