SMU Data and Models

Steel Mill Negotiations: “They Can Charge Whatever They Want”
Written by Tim Triplett
January 7, 2021
With steel in such tight supply as 2021 gets off to a fast start, it’s clearly a seller’s market, with little to no price negotiation between buyers and the mills.
Based on Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week, average hot rolled steel prices have surpassed $1,000 per ton. SMU has received anecdotal reports of service centers and OEMs paying nearly $1,200 per ton to secure critically needed hot rolled. Similar premiums have been reported for most other flat rolled products as well.
Virtually all the steel buyers responding to SMU’s market trends questionnaire this week said the mills are unwilling to deal on almost any product, as indicated by the predominantly blue bars below. As one buyer said, “Right now they can charge whatever they want.”
With demand staying strong into the new year, steel is expected to remain in short supply for some time, at least until more mills bring on additional capacity.
Note: These negotiations are based on the average from manufacturers and steel service centers who participated in this week’s SMU market trends analysis. To see an interactive history of our Negotiations data, visit our website here.
By Tim Triplett, tim@steelmarketupdate.com

Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU’s April at a glance
SMU’s Monthly Review provides a summary of our key steel market metrics for the previous month, with the latest data updated through April 30.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices recover
SMU’s Buyers’ Sentiment Indices both improved this week, reversing the decline seen two weeks ago.

SMU Survey: Sheet and plate lead times flatten out
Sheet and plate lead times held steady this week, according to buyers responding to the latest SMU market survey. This week we saw little change from mid-April levels, with just one product (Galvalume) showing any significant movement.

SMU Survey: More mills willing to deal on sheet prices, less so on plate
Nearly two thirds of the steel buyers who responded to this week’s SMU survey say domestic mills are negotiable on spot prices. This increasing flexibility marks a significant shift from the firmer stance mills held in recent months.

SMU Survey: Sheet lead times ease further, plate hits one-year high
Steel buyers responding to this week’s SMU market survey report a continued softening in sheet lead times. Meanwhile, plate lead times have moderately extended and are at a one-year high.