Steel Products
Comments from SMU CEO 1.25.2021
Written by John Packard
January 22, 2021
I received a call from Cleveland-Cliffs in response to an inquiry I had made a couple of weeks back regarding the #6 blast furnace at their Cleveland steel mill. Cliffs wanted to make sure I understand as the #6 blast furnace comes back online that it is not to increase production, only to replace the furnace at Middletown that is going down for maintenance. Cliffs is not interested in increasing supply into this market, which will help keep prices high over a longer period of time.
Last week we conducted one of our flat rolled and plate steel market trends analyses and in the process we inquired about mill performance. We asked those responding to our survey if they were able to purchase all of the material needed to run their business or to keep their customers satisfied. We found 59 percent of the respondents were not able to purchase enough material.
A second question regarding mill performance was if the mill deliveries were running on time? We defined “on time” as being +/- two weeks from the original promise date. Only 3 percent reported the mills as being “early,” 15 percent were “on time” and 82 percent reported the mills as exceeding the two-week window and were “late” in their deliveries.
We also asked if the higher steel prices were affecting credit terms and our respondents’ ability to buy all the steel they needed (or if their customers were able to buy all the steel they need)? About 65 percent of those responding reported credit as being an issue that is impacting either their ability to buy steel or their customers’ ability to purchase all the steel they require.
The above information is available to our Premium level subscribers as we provide them a power point presentation of the latest flat rolled and plate survey data (not available to our Executive level subscribers). To learn more about how to get a free trial to the Steel Market Update newsletter, or how to subscribe please contact Paige Mayhair at Paige@SteelMarketUpdate.com or by phone 724-720-1012.
I had meetings with a few of the Tampa Steel Conference speakers late last week. I am excited by what a number of the speakers are going to share with our attendees. Dr. Walter Kemmsies will shock the steel industry with his steel forecast. We have an exceptional trade panel that includes a manufacturing company, a trade lawyer and the president of the Steel Manufacturers Association. This will be a free-wheeling panel discussion (not presentations), and I expect a few surprises will creep into the conversation.
Timna Tanners and Josh Spoores will provide their forecast for steel prices and a look at what 2021 will bring for the industry.
I will be one-on-one with Nucor CEO Leon Topalian and we will have a presentation from Kevin Dempsey, the newly installed president and CEO of the American Iron and Steel Institute.
Rebecca Brewster, President and COO of the American Transport Research Institute, will discuss issues within the trucking industry, and Derek Langston, head of consultancy at Simpson Spence Young (SSY), will discuss the shipping industry.
The Tampa Steel Conference will be held on Tuesday, Feb. 2, and our platform will be open later this week so you can set your calendar (which can be done through our platform), see who is attending and make appointments (which can be done through our platform), review our agenda, see speaker bios, and interact with our exhibitors/sponsors. We will have one packed day that you will not want to miss, and you can afford. The cost to attend is $150 per person for non-SMU/CRU companies. It is $125 per person for SMU/CRU companies, and there is an additional $25 per person discount for any company sending two or more people to the event. For more details on the agenda and how to register click here.
A quick note to point out, our next Steel 101: Introduction to Steel Making & Market Fundamentals Workshop will be held on Feb. 9-10. You can learn more about the agenda, instructors, what past attendees had to say, costs and how to register by clicking here.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO, John@SteelMarketUpdate.com
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Steel Products
CRU: EC to toughen steel safeguards
The European Commission proposes cutting its steel import quota by almost half, with volumes exceeding the limit facing 50% duties. The region’s steel industry welcomes the move, while other steel-producing nations fear the consequences. CRU published an insight before this announcement, noting that more restrictive trade policy could significantly raise the cost of marginal supply […]
US and Canadian rig counts stabilize
US counts continue to hover just above historic lows, while Canadian figures remain comparatively healthy.
Plate market sources critique mill hikes amid current market conditions
Following spot market plate price increase notices issued by domestic mills this past week, participants are contemplating the rationale behind the increases and whether they will stick. Some sources anticipate that current market conditions will shift in November and believe the increases may set a new "pricing floor."
Oregon Steel Mills lifts plate prices by $60/ton
Oregon Steel Mills has joined other producers in announcing a price increase of at least $60 per short ton on steel plate.
CRU: Construction of pilot plant for green steel process starts
Voestalpine and partners have begun building an industrial-scale Hy4Smelt demonstration plant in Linz, Austria, which they hope will become key in the decarbonization of steel.