Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
May 23, 2016
the U.S. Department of Commerce will release their Final Determination on the corrosion resistant antidumping and countervailing duty trade suit on Wednesday, May 25th (not today). We will have a full report once we receive the announcement on Wednesday.
Steel Market Update will not publish our newsletter on Sunday, May 29th due to the Memorial Day Holiday. We will return to our normal publishing schedule on Tuesday, May 31st. We will begin our early June flat rolled steel market trends analysis on Tuesday morning as well.
For those of you who are interested in learning more about the hot rolled futures markets the CME Group has asked me to pass along an invite to their New York City Manage Your Price Risk forum at the Park Central Hotel on Monday, June 13th. You can register by clicking here (you made need to be logged into our website for the link to work properly).
I will be in New York City on the 13th and 14th of June as I attend a number of functions around the Steel Success Strategies conference. I am booked solid on the 13th but have some time available on Tuesday the 14th if anyone would like to have breakfast or share a cup of coffee. Just drop me an email at: John@SteelMarketUpdate.com
Don’t forget while in New York talk up our Steel Summit Conference…
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
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Final Thoughts
United Airlines raised eyebrows earlier this month when it provided two forecasts for 2025 – one assuming a relatively stable economy and another assuming a recession. The reason? Uncertainty around the impact of President Trump’s policy shocks on the broader economy. And it sometimes feels like we’re seeing a battle between those two narratives (stable vs recession) play out within in the pages of this newsletter.

Final Thoughts
Despite some scary headlines lately (especially about Trump potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell) this is not October 2008 (financial crisis) or March 2020 (onset of the pandemic). But it sure seems like we’ve taken a relatively strong economy and poured a thick sauce of uncertainty over it.

Final Thoughts
I put some of our survey data through ChatGpt, with interesting results.