Trade Cases

Vietnam Circumvention Ruling Coming Oct. 17
Written by John Packard
September 12, 2017
Over the weekend, we received a message from trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz regarding the status of the Vietnam circumvention suit. This is the one where the domestic steel mills filed a circumvention suit alleging China is circumventing the duties on cold rolled and CORE (corrosion resistant) steels by sending substrate to Vietnam and having it converted there before shipment to the U.S. as Vietnamese material.
Lewis told us, “Commerce announced today that it will issue a preliminary determination in the Vietnam circumvention proceedings (cold-rolled and corrosion resistant steel) on Oct. 16. The decision will be publicly available on the next business day (Oct. 17). The Commerce Department previously announced that the final determinations will be issued on Feb. 15, 2018.”
One of the core questions at issue is how to define “significant transformation,” when steel is converted and in the process changes from one product to another. For example, when hot rolled substrate is converted by “cold rolling,” thus reducing the thickness of the steel and the surface. Hot rolled then becomes cold rolled. The same happens when cold rolled steel is converted to galvanized steel by adding zinc to the surface of the substrate (limited changes to thickness).
The expectation is that the U.S. Department of Commerce will take some action, probably against Chinese substrate being converted into another product as a means of sending it to the United States. However, as one steel mill executive told SMU, “My take is the petitioners will ‘win’ something on Vietnam. But the only way to shut Vietnam off is to go with a straight dumping case, something the mills should have done a long time ago. But they decided to back the wrong horse with the Section 232 instead.” Vietnam has made a change away from Chinese substrate, so there may be no impact of a decision in favor of the domestic mills, he added.
We will learn more on Oct. 17 when the public is made aware of the DOC preliminary recommendation.
Written by: John Packard, John@SteelMarketUpdate.com

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Trade Cases

Leibowitz: Tariffs are the trade version of going nuclear
In short, when tariffs go up, jobs in consuming industries go down. There is conclusive evidence from past actions: safeguard tariffs in 2002 and Section 232 tariffs in 2018. It is happening again in 2025. The Trump administration wants foreign producers (and US retailers) to absorb tariff increases (except in antidumping cases, where foreign absorption of tariffs is illegal).

Nippon exec responds after Trump ‘golden share’ comments: Report
A Nippon executive has hit back regarding the deal for USS following President Trump's talk of a "golden share" on Thursday.

US rebar producers seek import relief with new trade case
The four countries targeted for duties are currently the top offshore suppliers of rebar to the US market: Algeria, Bulgaria, Egypt, and Vietnam.

CRU Insight: A 50% S232 tariff will raise US steel prices and shift trade flows
This CRU Insight examines how the increase in Section 232 tariffs on steel to challenging levels will lead to significatively higher prices for end consumers in the US market.

Canacero hits out at new US steel tariffs
Mexican steel trade group Canacero has condemned the US’ actions of raising tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50% from 25%.