SMU Data and Models

Service Center Inventories “Flash” Report
Written by John Packard
August 8, 2018
The following report is normally provided to data providers and Premium level members of Steel Market Update:
Steel Market Update began collecting flat rolled and plate inventories information from our participating service centers beginning on Monday of this week. The following is our “Flash” report, which is derived from at least 50 percent of the respondents, and provides a snapshot of what we anticipate when we receive all of the data. The headline finding: inventories have remained essentially flat compared to May.
SMU “Flash” report is showing service center flat rolled steel inventories as being 0.2 months of supply lower at the end of July than what we reported for June. Our Flash analysis has the number of months of supply for flat rolled as trending toward 2.6 months of supply. We reported end of June inventories as being 2.8 months.
Steel Market Update has been working with our service center data providers and collecting information regarding the number of months of supply distributors have on their floor of flat rolled and plate steel products. Our “Flash” report is based on 73 percent of the data providers having already responded with their data.
Of those responding to date:
- Those reporting higher inventories = 27 percent
- Those reporting same levels as June = 16 percent
- Those reporting lower inventories = 57 percent
July “Flash” Plate Inventories Trending to Stable Month Compared to June
With 80 percent of the plate data providers having already responded with their information we are seeing plate steel inventories as the same as June at 2.1 months of supply.
Of those responding to date:
- Those reporting higher inventories = 38 percent
- Those reporting same levels as June = 50 percent
- Those reporting lower inventories = 12 percent
We should have our complete report done toward the end of this week.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Buyers’ Sentiment rebounds from multi-year low
Both of SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices edged higher this week. Current Sentiment rebounded from a near five-year low, while Future Sentiment rose to a two-month high

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.

SMU Survey: Sheet lead times pull back after early-June blip, plate holds
Following the uptick seen two weeks ago, lead times eased this week for all four sheet products tracked by SMU, while plate lead times held steady, according to this week’s market survey.

SMU Survey: Pricing power abruptly shifts to steel buyers
The majority of steel buyers responding to our latest market survey say domestic mills are more willing to talk price on sheet and plate products than they were earlier this month. Sheet negotiation rates rebounded across the board compared to early June, while our plate negotiation rate hit a full 100%.

Service centers: Mill orders down marginally in May
SMU’s Mill Order Index (MOI) declined for a third straight month in May, but only marginally.