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    CRU: Russian Scrap Export Tariffs to Up Pressure on EU, U.S. Scrap Markets


    By CRU Principal Analyst Chris Asgill, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor

    Russia will impose tariffs of 5% ferrous scrap exports, with a minimum rate of €45 /t ($55 /t), for a period of six months. The country states that these are to protect the domestic metallurgical industry from supply shortages and high prices. As shown in the latest CRU Steel Metallics Monitor (here, for subscribers of this service), Russian domestic scrap prices have reached record highs in recent months. Large scrap procurement plans from domestic steel mills, seasonally restricted supply due to winter weather and surging international steel prices have all played a part in these price gains.

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    CRU: HR coil futures re-price 2027 forward curve

    CME Group’s hot-rolled coil futures have jumped higher as the loss of a reheating line at a large Southern mill have renewed domestic production issues. At market close on Oct. 12, the Q4'26 futures are now pricing in $1,295 per short ton (st) for HR coil, a month-over-month (m/m) increase of $63/st. For 2027, the forward curve is up $80 /st vs. September, at $1,207/st. For November 2026 through March 2027, prices are at an average just above $1,300/st.