SMU Data and Models

Mill Negotiations: Buyers Gain Pricing Power on HRC, Galv

Written by Michael Cowden

November 23, 2021

Steel buyers have gained a clear advantage when it comes to negotiating lower prices for hot-rolled coil and galvanized product.

The change in pricing power toward buyers – following a year in which mills could name their price – comes as prices for most products are down, lead times are coming in, and inventories are increasing.

SMU has also shifted its momentum indicators for all sheet products, and not just for HRC, lower.

The one product that mills were clearly less willing to negotiate price on was plate, where the dust is yet to settle on a recent round of price hikes.

That’s the takeaway from Steel Market Update’s latest survey. We ask buyers every two weeks whether mills are willing to talk price on spot orders.

Mills are willing to negotiate “in a small band,” one survey respondent said. “We’re still not seeing a willingness to tank the market.”

Others characterized mills’ willingness to negotiate on a broad spectrum from “very little” to “absolutely flexible.”

By the numbers, 75% of hot rolled coil buyers responding to this week’s survey said mills were more willing to negotiate lower prices to get an order. That’s roughly in line with our last check of the market.

The percentage of galvanized respondents reporting mills willing to negotiate was 52%, up from 43% in our last survey. That marks the first time since August 2020, when the market hit bottom after the COVID-19 outbreak, that more than half of galvanized buyers reported mills willing to consider lower prices.

Check out the rest of our data in the charts below:

 

By Michael Cowden, Michael@SteelMarketUpdate.com

Michael Cowden

Michael Cowden is editor-in-chief for Steel Market Update. Cowden has covered the steel industry since 2007. He specializes in flat-rolled steel but has also reported on steel long products, steel pipe and tube, and aluminum. Before joining SMU, Cowden held reporting jobs at Fastmarkets AMM in Chicago, the Associated Press in Pittsburgh, and the Cambodia Daily in Phnom Penh. He has also worked as a copy editor and in marketing at the University of Chicago Press. Cowden has a BA in English from the University of Chicago and an MSJ journalism from Northwestern University’s Medill School of Journalism. Contact him at michael@steelmarketupdate.com or 724-759-7872.

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