Steel Markets
US Light Vehicle Sales Edge Down Again in February
Written by David Schollaert
March 22, 2023
US light-vehicle (LV) sales declined to an unadjusted 1.14 million units in February, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported. Despite the month-on-month (MoM) decline, February’s total was still 8.7% higher year-on-year (YoY), and the seventh consecutive month to see a YoY increase in sales.
On an annualized basis, LV sales were down 6.2% MoM in February, declining to 14.9 million units, just slightly ahead of the consensus forecast of 14.7 million.
The decline in auto sales last month is somewhat deceiving, as some seasonality distortions related to the pandemic partially inflated the reading for January, leading the February level to look a bit weak.
Sales grew by 8.7%, on an unadjusted basis, even while strong demand headwinds, like high financing costs and high transaction prices, remain.
Passenger vehicle sales increased 52.2% YoY last month while sales of light-trucks ticked up by 9.6%. Light-trucks accounted for more than 73% of February’s sales, down from its share of nearly 80% in February 2022.
Below in Figure 1 is the long-term picture of sales of autos and lightweight trucks in the US from 2013 through January 2023. Additionally, it includes the market share sales breakdown of last month’s 14.9 million vehicles at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.
The new-vehicle average transaction price (ATP) was $48,763 in February, down for the second straight month after reaching an all-time high $49,507 in December. ATPs were just 0.2% lower (-$625) in February vs. the prior month but 5.8% (+$2,681) above the year-ago period, according to Cox Automotive data.
Incentives increased again for the fourth straight month. Last month’s incentives were $1,339, up from $1,260 in January. With the MoM increase, incentives remained above the $1,000 mark for the fourth time in ten months and roughly 2.7% of the average transaction price. Incentives are up 7.6%, or $94 YoY.
In February, the annualized selling rate of light trucks was 11.933 million units, down 5.8% vs. the prior month but still 49.6% better YoY. Auto annualized selling rates saw similar dynamics, down 4.7% but up 52.2%, respectively, in the same comparisons.
Figure 2 details the US auto and light-truck market share since 2013 and the divergence between average transaction prices and incentives in the US market since 2020.
Editor’s Note: This report is based on data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), LMC Automotive, JD Power, and Cox Automotive for automotive sales in the US, Canada, and Mexico. Specifically, the report describes light vehicle sales in the US.
By David Schollaert, david@steelmarketupdate.com

David Schollaert
Read more from David SchollaertLatest in Steel Markets

Sheet market sources slam tariffs for prolonged demand slump
Tariffs are ultimately to blame for stagnant demand in the hot-rolled coil market, domestic market sources tell SMU.

Week in Review: Sept. 29 -Oct. 3
Let’s take a quick tour of some key stories from SMU in the week of Sept. 29 - Oct. 3.

Hot-rolled coil sources lament stagnant conditions
Participants in the hot-rolled sheet market expressed frustration with the continuing lack of demand this week.

Plate market sources critique mill hikes amid current market conditions
Following spot market plate price increase notices issued by domestic mills this past week, participants are contemplating the rationale behind the increases and whether they will stick. Some sources anticipate that current market conditions will shift in November and believe the increases may set a new "pricing floor."

ITC’s final ruling: Dumped, subsidized CORE imports are harming domestic market
The US International Trade Commission (ITC) finds that corrosion resistant steel (CORE) imports from 10 countries have caused material damage to domestic product producers, according to the ITC’s statement.