International Steel Prices
Worldsteel: Global Steel Output Edges Down in February
Written by David Schollaert
March 25, 2023
Global crude steel production was estimated at 142.3 million metric tons in February, as steelmakers around the world cut output by 1.4 million metric tons vs. the same year-ago period, the World Steel Association (worldsteel) reported.
Last month’s estimated production was also down sequentially, declining 2%, or 2.9 million metric tons, from January’s total crude steel output.
After reaching an all-time high of 174.4 million metric tons in May 2021, global steel output has varied. The lack of consistency has been heavily determined by Chinese production. After slipping to the lowest total in nearly three years in November, Chinese raw steel output has risen repeatedly since.
And while Chinese production has been on the rise, overall global output has now dipped repeatedly over the past three months.
Last month eight of the top 10 steel-producing nations saw production declines vs. January.
When compared to the same year-ago period, results were similar. Again, only two out of 10 saw production totals increase — China and South Korea were the exceptions. When compared to the pre-pandemic period of February 2019, global crude steel production was up 2%, or 2.77 million metric tons, last month.
China’s steel production in February totaled an estimated 80.1 million metric tons, up 600,000 metric tons (+0.8%) MoM, and up 5.1 million metric tons (+6.8%) from the same year-ago period. Worldwide steel production, ex-China, totaled 62.3 million metric tons last month, down 3.5 million metric tons (-5.3%) compared to January. Output was also down 9.4%, or 6.5 million metric tons fewer vs. February 2022.
Chinese steel output accounted for 56.3% of worldwide production in February, up 1.5 percentage points vs. January.
The US saw output decrease by 500,000 metric tons, or -7.7% last month.
By David Schollaert, david@steelmarketupdate.com

David Schollaert
Read more from David SchollaertLatest in International Steel Prices

Gap between US HR prices, imports little changed
SMU’s average price for domestic hot-rolled (HR) coil was $795 per short ton (st) this week, sideways week on week (w/w). The move was different in offshore markets last week, as prices eased marginally.

Gap between US HR and landed import prices starts to narrow
The price gap between stateside hot band and landed offshore product narrowed this week. Still, with the 50% Section 232 tariff, most imports remain much more expensive than domestic material.

Little change in price gap between US HR, imports
SMU’s average price for domestic hot-rolled (HR) coil held at $785 per short ton (st) this week, unchanged week on week (w/w). A similar dynamic was seen in offshore markets last week as well.

Price gap between US CR, most imports narrows
Cold-rolled (CR) coil prices ticked up in the US this week, matching a similar trend seen in offshore markets as well.

Domestic HR and offshore import prices continue to diverge
With only a modest decline in US prices, HR imports, on a landed basis, remain much more expensive than domestic hot band.