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    May 15, 2025

    April service center shipments and inventories report

    Written by Estelle Tran

    Flat rolled = 57.6 shipping days of supply

    Plate = 54.5 shipping days of supply

    Estelle Tran

    Estelle Tran is a senior analyst at CRU based in Pittsburgh. Estelle joined CRU as a steel and ferroalloy prices analyst in October 2017. She is the main contact for data providers who contribute to the CRU Midwest flat-rolled steel indices. She is also the editor of the Steel Monitor and analyzes the monthly service center inventories report for Steel Market Update. Prior to joining CRU, Estelle worked at S&P Global Platts, reporting on flat-rolled steel, long steel, primary aluminum and trade issues. She earned a B.A. in English writing and history from the University of Pittsburgh. Estelle is also past president of the Pittsburgh chapter of the Association of Women in the Metal Industries and the Northeast regional vice chair.

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    Latest in Premium

    SMU: MOI surge triggered by historically long lead times

    SMU’s Mill Order Index (MOI) surged in September, up for a fifth consecutive month and setting a record high. The increase came as service center on-order volumes and new mill order entries reached record highs—overtaking any prior high-water mark—including the post-pandemic snapback in demand, according to SMU’s latest service center inventory data. The MOI now stands at 162.7, up nearly 18% from 138.3 in August. The MOI was more than 35% above the average year-to-date (YTD) reading of 120.3, and up more than 100% year-on-year (y/y). Results suggest inventories remain uncomfortably lean as service centers try to restock in a market where spot tons are scarce, and contract tons are delayed. September intake surged by more than 21% month over month (m/m), exceeding outbound shipments by 15%. The result: service center inventories remained down more than 14% YTD vs. the same period a year earlier, even as shipments were ~3% higher.

    supply

    September service center shipments and inventories report

    US service centers’ flat-rolled steel supply increased marginally in September, gaining ground for only the second time all year. Shipping days of supply rose to 45.9 last month, according to SMU data. That figure marks a 3.7% increase from August. September’s result represents a modest gain after inventories hit a five-year low the previous month. But it’s nearly 16% below September 2025 levels. Sheet inventories have averaged ~45 shipping days of supply over the past six months. Flat-rolled inventories represented 2.18 months of supply in September, up 3.7% from August. However, the figure was 15.5% below September 2025. The month-on-month (m/m) gain in inventories resulted from a boost (+21.2%) in intake that was partially offset by a 5% increase in shipments.

    SMU scrap market survey results now available

    SMU’s October ferrous scrap market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the Pricing and Analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for Ferrous Scrap Survey results. Past scrap survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results or if your company would like to have your voice heard in our future surveys