Analysis
November 19, 2025
Written by Stephen Miller
The bulk scrap export market has experienced a great deal of action lately, but that has not resulted in runaway pricing.
It has risen from levels earlier in Q4, though seems to have plateaued over the last two weeks, both in Europe and North America. Buyers in Turkey have bought seven US-origin cargoes and another one from Venezuela over the last week.
Every month, SMU polls participants in the ferrous scrap market on a variety of topics, including prices. This month's survey results landed just as the November scrap market was starting to settle. Preliminary results show scrap prices rose across the board for all the products SMU tracks. Final prices will be in SMU later this week. As the final numbers come in, we'd like to share where survey respondents thought prices would be on busheling, shredded, and HMS scrap, as well as where they see prices heading over the next 60 days.
November scrap procurement has commenced in the US with buyers divided on the price increases from the previous month. Several mills reportedly sought a rise of $20 per gross ton (gt) while others saw $30/gt as the number. The $30/gt price tag mainly applies to the obsolete grades, like shredded, P&S and #1 HMS, with prime grades pulling up the rear at $20. SMU spoke to a Chicago-based source who said that market was up $30/gt and 20/gt on shredded and busheling, respectively. He also mentioned the integrated mills in this district are after heavier grades like P&S and railroad grades, like wheels. These grades have been in short supply since last summer. Our source believes they commanded prices up $30/gt while busheling was at plus $20.
The Aluminum Association is pushing for tariff rates to be aligned in Canada, the US and Mexico.
SMU’s Current and Future Scrap Sentiment Indices slipped in November, according to the latest data from our ferrous scrap survey. SMU’s Current Scrap Sentiment Index dropped four points to +84 this month. The index last touched +84 back in July. The low for this year so far was in January when Current Sentiment stood at +73.
SMU’s November ferrous scrap market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the Pricing and Analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for Ferrous Scrap Survey results. Past scrap survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results or if your company would like to have your voice heard in our future surveys, contact smu@crugroup.com.