Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
October 13, 2017
I had a whirlwind weekend having traveled to Cleveland to see family and to attend MidWest Materials’ 65th anniversary. Brian Robbins and his crew did a great job paying homage to their past and current employees. The company is much different today than it was in 1952 when it started. I have a feeling it will be quite different again in just a few years’ time as the pace of change quickens and companies either innovate or struggle to survive.
SMU recently began writing a series of articles about ethics–something that has concerned me during my active sales career and after I began writing Steel Market Update. Almost on cue comes Kobe Steel, which has admitted falsifying data to 500 customers. The exact depth of the deception is not yet known. But the parts went into airplanes, bullet trains and automobiles…. Now, because of the actions of one company on the other side of the world, people are asking questions about products they buy from steel mills everywhere.
I was asked a question during our Steel 101 workshop in Indiana–should we be concerned if the tests done by the mills are accurate? My response then was that no mill would risk their reputation and their ability to look their customers in the face by falsifying test results or certifications. Now there is Kobe Steel….
Our Jan. 24-25, 2018, Steel 101: Introduction to Steel Making & Market Fundamentals workshop is beginning to fill up. We are now about one-third full, so we encourage anyone interested in attending to do so. If you have questions, please feel free to reach out to my office. I can be reached at 800-432-3475. We will tour the SSAB Mobile minimill as part of the January workshop.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Can technology help with pig iron and DRI/HBI tariffs?

Final Thoughts
Tariff-related noise aside, there is one basic factor keeping buyers on the sidelines. Despite recent declines, HR prices remain at historically high levels. And there is no obvious support to keep them there.

Final Thoughts
United Airlines raised eyebrows earlier this month when it provided two forecasts for 2025 – one assuming a relatively stable economy and another assuming a recession. The reason? Uncertainty around the impact of President Trump’s policy shocks on the broader economy. And it sometimes feels like we’re seeing a battle between those two narratives (stable vs recession) play out within in the pages of this newsletter.

Final Thoughts
Despite some scary headlines lately (especially about Trump potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell) this is not October 2008 (financial crisis) or March 2020 (onset of the pandemic). But it sure seems like we’ve taken a relatively strong economy and poured a thick sauce of uncertainty over it.

Final Thoughts
I put some of our survey data through ChatGpt, with interesting results.