Market Data

January 2018 at a Glance
Written by Brett Linton
February 1, 2018
Industry data through the end January, including drivers of steel prices, supply and demand, are all pointing up as the year got off to a strong start. As the month ended, the Steel Market Update (SMU) Price Momentum indicator was pointing to higher flat rolled steel prices over the next 30 to 60 days as the domestic steel mills continue to raise prices.
Our SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index jumped during the month of January and reached an all-time high at +78. Future Sentiment also rose to an all-time high of +77. Based on a three-month moving average, our Buyers Sentiment Index ended the month at +71.33.
Benchmark hot rolled ended the month at $715 per ton and for the entire month averaged $685 per ton. Our average was slightly higher than the CME HRC Futures settlement price, which was $677 per ton. We were slightly lower than Platts, which averaged $687 for the month of December.
Zinc and aluminum spot prices on the LME continue to trade at historically high levels (over the past five years).
Many of the data items shown below are optimistic and represent a good start to 2018.
Brett Linton
Read more from Brett LintonLatest in Market Data
Final Thoughts
Most steel buyers think that steel prices will continue to rise into the 2026. But they don’t see the kinds of big gains that have characterized past market upturns, according to the results of SMU’s latest steel market survey.
Chicago Business Barometer improves but still contracts in October
The Chicago Business Barometer’s October reading still indicates a cooling in general business activity despite posting a surprise gain.
Drilling activity slows at October’s end in US and Canada
The latest Baker Hughes rig count report showed oil and gas drilling slowing in both the US and Canada last week.
SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.
SMU Steel Demand Index improves but remains in contraction
SMU’s Steel Demand Index remains in contraction, according to late October indicators. Though growth faded at a slower pace, it rebounded from one of the lowest readings year-to-date from earlier in the month.

