Steel Markets

U.S. Auto Sales Fall in July as Incentives Decline
Written by Sandy Williams
August 1, 2018
Most automakers reported a drop in U.S. vehicle sales in July and analysts are predicting more pain to come in the second half of the year.
“Every year there is a clunker of a month,” Mike Jackson, chief executive of AutoNation Inc., told Reuters. “I think July will be that month from a retail point of view.”
Fiat Chrysler was one of the few automakers to report an increase in sales. Sales of vehicles for FCA jumped 6 percent in July on the strength of its Jeep brand.
Ford sales were down 3.1 percent, and although General Motors no longer reports monthly data, its sales were expected to be down, as well.
Nissan and Honda sales fell 15.2 percent, and 8.2 percent, respectively. Toyota sales slipped 6 percent along with losses at Hyundai and Kia.
Part of the problem was a cutback in incentives offered by dealerships. Incentives fell about 5 percent from a year ago to an average per unit spend of $3,664. It was the first decline in average incentive in 54 months, according to JD Powers. The average new vehicle transaction price was $31,561 for July.
Trade Wars are Spooking Automakers and Creating Uncertainty
General Motors reduced its earnings forecast for 2018 to $5.14 per diluted share from its previous range of $5.52 to $5.82 and warned that trade conflicts could hurt both U.S. and global car sales.
GM CFO Chuck Stevens said the company was not expecting tariffs to impact the industry in 2018. “What happens beyond 2018, I think there’s a lot of uncertainty in this space at this point in time. We’re going to have to see where it lands and how ultimately that impacts the U.S. industry–and the global industry, frankly.”
President Trump has threatened to impose tariffs of 25 percent on imported automobiles and parts despite warnings by automakers, parts manufacturers, repair stations and dealers that such measures would throw the industry into chaos and disrupt growth in the U.S. economy. Automakers said tariffs could raise the price on some cars as much as $6,000.
“The whole trade war and tariffs are deeply unsettling from an economic point of view,” said AutoNation CEO Jackson as quoted by Reuters. “The threat of tariffs on motor vehicles is a great concern.”
“It will make the other tariffs look like a company picnic,” he added.

Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Steel Markets

Hot-rolled price hikes garner mixed reactions from the market
Several steel market sources say they were blindsided when mills increased spot prices for hot-rolled coils this week.

Steel market participants mull the impact of US/Mexico S232 negotiations
Steel market participants learned that negotiations between the US and Mexico include discussions about Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum despite President Trump’s June 3 proclamation increasing the tariffs from 25% to 50% for all steel and aluminum imports—except for those from the UK.

ArcelorMittal plans wire-drawing closure in Hamilton, shifts production to Montreal
ArcelorMittal’s (AM) Hamilton location to be shuttered, wire production shifting to Montreal.

Tariffs, ample domestic supply cause importers to shift or cancel HR import orders
Subdued demand is causing importers to cancel hot-rolled (HR) coil orders and renegotiate the terms of shipments currently enroute to the US, importers say. An executive for a large overseas mill said customers might find it difficult to justify making imports buys after US President Donald Trump doubled the 25% Section 232 tariff on imported steel […]

CRU Insight: A 50% S232 tariff will raise US steel prices and shift trade flows
This CRU Insight examines how the increase in Section 232 tariffs on steel to challenging levels will lead to significatively higher prices for end consumers in the US market.