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    Analysis

    Final Thoughts

    Written by John Packard


    There have been some discussions recently with articles written about the global scrap trade and China. China is the world’s largest steel producing nation with 50 percent (or greater) of the world’s steel production. A couple of years ago, I received information from one of my Chinese trading contacts about scrap steel being exported out of China for the first time. Late in 2018, that same contact told me the Chinese government had cracked down on ferrous scrap exports. Those exports are now restricted.

    I asked my contact today if there has been any “cheating” as that seems to be the norm sometimes when it comes to China. I was told at one time there were some who tried to get around the government restrictions and export scrap anyway. Today, my contact said, “All of those guys are still incarcerated [for] tax evasion. No one dares now [try to export scrap out of China].”

    Latest in Analysis

    November scrap prices rise as market nears settle

    November scrap procurement has commenced in the US with buyers divided on the price increases from the previous month. Several mills reportedly sought a rise of $20 per gross ton (gt) while others saw $30/gt as the number. The $30/gt price tag mainly applies to the obsolete grades, like shredded, P&S and #1 HMS, with prime grades pulling up the rear at $20. SMU spoke to a Chicago-based source who said that market was up $30/gt and 20/gt on shredded and busheling, respectively. He also mentioned the integrated mills in this district are after heavier grades like P&S and railroad grades, like wheels. These grades have been in short supply since last summer. Our source believes they commanded prices up $30/gt while busheling was at plus $20.