Steel Markets

Housing Starts Increase in November
Written by Sandy Williams
December 16, 2019
November housing starts increased 3.2 percent from October and 13.6 percent from November 2018, indicates the latest report from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.
Starts decreased in the Northeast and Midwest, but increased 10.3 percent in the South and 1.4 percent in the West. Single-family starts were up 2.4 percent from the previous month, while multi-unit housing of five units or more rose 2.3 percent.
“On a year-to-date basis, single-family starts are just 0.4 percent lower than the first 11 months of 2018,” said National Association of Home Builders Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “NAHB’s forecast, and the forward-looking HMI, suggest that future data will show modest monthly gains due to lower mortgage interest rates. Indeed, the rate of single-family permits has been increasing since April as the home construction rebound continues. We expect additional single-family growth as areas beyond the exurbs respond to for-sale housing demand and healthy labor markets.”
Building permits, a measure of future construction, rose 1.4 percent from October and 11.2 percent from a year ago. Multi-family authorizations outpaced single-family permits, gaining 4.4 percent versus 0.8 percent.
Authorizations jumped 18.1 percent in the Northeast, 15.1 percent in the Midwest and 1.3 percent in the West. Permit authorizations fell 4.7 percent in the South.
According to NAHB data, as of November 2019, there were 526,000 single-family homes under construction. There are currently 644,000 apartments under construction, up 5 percent from a year ago and marking a post-Great Recession high.

Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Steel Markets

Steel market participants mull the impact of US/Mexico S232 negotiations
Steel market participants learned that negotiations between the US and Mexico include discussions about Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum despite President Trump’s June 3 proclamation increasing the tariffs from 25% to 50% for all steel and aluminum imports—except for those from the UK.

ArcelorMittal plans wire-drawing closure in Hamilton, shifts production to Montreal
ArcelorMittal’s (AM) Hamilton location to be shuttered, wire production shifting to Montreal.

Tariffs, ample domestic supply cause importers to shift or cancel HR import orders
Subdued demand is causing importers to cancel hot-rolled (HR) coil orders and renegotiate the terms of shipments currently enroute to the US, importers say. An executive for a large overseas mill said customers might find it difficult to justify making imports buys after US President Donald Trump doubled the 25% Section 232 tariff on imported steel […]

CRU Insight: A 50% S232 tariff will raise US steel prices and shift trade flows
This CRU Insight examines how the increase in Section 232 tariffs on steel to challenging levels will lead to significatively higher prices for end consumers in the US market.

Steel market shakes tariffs off amid weak demand
Service centers and distributors contend that weak demand is to blame for the flattening of domestic steel spot prices, as reflected in Nucor Steel’s weekly Consumer Spot Price (CSP) notice. On Monday, the Charlotte, North Carolina-headquartered steel producer left prices unchanged from the previous week. Nucor has maintained prices of plate produced in Brandenburg since March 28.