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    CRU: Score at Half-time—Will the Strong Recovery Continue?

    Written by Jumana Saleheen


    By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and Chief Economist Jumana Saleheen

    In this mid-year update to our global economic outlook, we look back at our expectations at the beginning of the year, and those of our surveyed clients, and compare them with actual outcomes over the past six months. Overall, the global economy is in vastly better shape at the start of the second half of 2021 than was expected six months ago, thanks to a powerful combination of mass vaccination rollouts and massive stimulus.

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    CRU: HR coil futures re-price 2027 forward curve

    CME Group’s hot-rolled coil futures have jumped higher as the loss of a reheating line at a large Southern mill have renewed domestic production issues. At market close on Oct. 12, the Q4'26 futures are now pricing in $1,295 per short ton (st) for HR coil, a month-over-month (m/m) increase of $63/st. For 2027, the forward curve is up $80 /st vs. September, at $1,207/st. For November 2026 through March 2027, prices are at an average just above $1,300/st.