Steel Products
The Global Steel Industry: A Reshaping is Underway
Written by David Schollaert
August 23, 2022
The transformation the steel industry has undergone has been accelerated over the past 18-24 months, with even greater dynamics underway, said a panel of steel executives and analysts during the first day of Steel Market Update’s 2022 Steel Summit conference in Atlanta, Ga.
Demand trajectories across regions are diverging, finished steel consumption in China is recovering post-lockdowns, but the rest of the world is seeing a decline,” said Panos Kotseras, CRU’s lead stainless steel market analyst. “Long-term sheet demand will be driven by developed Asia.”
Panos made the remarks during a panel addressing the global steel apparent industry’s meltdown and reconstitution. Other panelists were Michael Setterdahl, senior advisor, GFG Alliance, and Johnny Sjöström, president, CEO, and executive VP, SSAB Special Steels.
While the global Covid pandemic and the war in Ukraine have caused sharp price swings, tariffs, decarbonization, and other geopolitical issues have transformed the global steel order.
“The global steel industry has not seen a meltdown, but it will certainly require a reconstitution,” said Setterdahl.
Though it’s critical to note the dynamics in play over the past 12-18 months, the panel suggested that what’s ahead, and the issues that will impact the North American steel market could be of greater value. From rising energy costs in Europe, cost inflation in the US, and the ongoing implications of the war in Ukraine, to the growing tensions between China and Taiwan – it has the potential to severely impact global trade.
Another headwind affecting the North American market is the cost of steel. “Are prices in Asia going to increase and align more with North America or will North American prices come down due to the low-priced price in Asia?” remarked Sjöström. Adding that the mechanisms in play to impact and drive that would likely be the scrap surplus/deficit relationship between the electric-arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking footprint in the US and Chinese markets.
“Right now, there’s a scrap surplus in the US and a scrap deficit in China,” added Setterdahl. “As China continues to grow its EAF capacity, the need for prime scrap will accelerate at a pace we don’t really understand.”
By David Schollaert, David@SteelMarketUpdate.com

David Schollaert
Read more from David SchollaertLatest in Steel Products

OCTG producers in Canada take aim at Mexico, US, others
Evraz NA and Welded Tube of Canada have lodged an unfair trade complaint against imports of OCTG, including those from USMCA trading partners Mexico and the US.

Final Thoughts
The difference: The spat with Turkey was a big deal for steel. This time, the 50% reciprocal tariff for Brazil – if it goes into effect as threatened on Aug.1 – hits everything from coffee and to pig iron. It seems almost custom-built to inflict as much pain as possible on Brazil.

CRU: US rebar and wire rod prices rise alongside S232 increase
CRU Senior Steel Analyst Alexandra Anderson discusses current market and pricing dynamics for long steel products in the US.
CRU: Excessive global supply could hit rebar mill investments in US
Following the onset of the war in Ukraine in March 2022, concerns about import availability and expectations of rising demand from President Biden’s Infrastructure Bill pushed US rebar prices to record highs. In response, a flurry of new mills and capacity expansions were announced to meet the rise in demand from growth in the construction […]

Steel buyer spirits tempered by soft spot market conditions
Steel sheet buyers report feeling bogged down by the ongoing stresses of stagnant demand, news fatigue, tariff negotiations or implementation timelines, and persistent macroeconomic uncertainty.