Steel Products
Ternium Could See Upside to Potential Steel Tariffs from US
Written by Becca Moczygemba
July 31, 2023
Mexican steelmaker Ternium could benefit if the US places new steel tariffs on Mexico, according to New York-based investment firm Morgan Stanley.
“First, if the US were to levy tariffs on steel imports from Mexico, we believe the government of Mexico would likely respond with a similar measure. Second, due to its product mix, Ternium would likely benefit from lower steel trade between the two countries,” Morgan Stanley said in a research note.

But why the possible need for a new tariff? According to data from the research note, there’s been a significant increase in steel imports from Mexico in the past two years compared to pre-pandemic levels. “(Import quantities) are up 43% in 2022 relative to 2018 and 92% relative to 2015. In fact, whereas prior to 2018, Mexico had a negative steel trade balance with the US (i.e., was a net importer), since 2018, it has become a net exporter of steel in trade with its northern neighbor.”
Imports from Mexico in June were at a three-month high, with semi-finished steel making up half the shipments, according to the US Commerce Department.
US Trade Representative Katherine Tai and Mexico’s Secretary of Economy Raquel Buenrostro met on July 6. The USTR said she spoke with Secretary Buenrostro regarding “the importance of addressing the recent surge of imports of steel and aluminum products, and agreed to have their teams intensify their engagement.”
Scottsdale, Ariz.– based Reliance Steel & Aluminum spoke about doing business in Mexico on its latest earnings call.
“We try to sell metal to people wherever they are if they want metal. So, if there is more demand for metal in Mexico, we certainly want to service those markets,” said Karla Lewis, president, CEO, and director of Reliance Steel & Aluminum. “We’re in process of doing further expansions down there because we see growth in that market,”
In 2008, Reliance acquired the PNA Group, which consisted of 23 service centers and seven joint ventures – three of those facilities are in Mexico, and the company has since added a fourth.
“We also have some of our US companies selling more metal down into Mexico. One of our on-campus opportunities, I think that mill has directed more metal there,” Lewis said. “So, in support of them, we’re pushing some more tons down there as we see opportunities to grow down there. We look at it as a potential favorable market for growth right now.”
By Becca Moczygemba, becca@steelmarketupdate.com

Becca Moczygemba
Read more from Becca MoczygembaLatest in Steel Products

Plate market buzzes with rumors of secret deals from mills
Carbon steel plate market participants suspect that this week’s modestly softer prices are the result of quietly negotiated prices between plate purchasers and mills.

HR Futures: Forward curve shifts lower, structure maintains
Scraping lower-quartile $800s on nearby futures is bringing limited trading ideas for CME hot-rolled coil (HRC) at present.

Nucor drops HR spot price to $865/ton
Nucor has lowered its hot-rolled (HR) spot price by another $10 per short ton (st) this week.

SMU Week in Review: Aug. 11-15
With so much happening in the news cycle, we want to make it easier for you to keep track of it all. Here are highlights of what’s happened this week and a few things to keep an eye on.

Active rig count holds in US but grows in Canada
Oil and gas drilling in the US was unchanged this past week following three straight weeks of declining activity. Canada saw another gain, reaching a 22-week high.