SMU Data and Models

SMU's August at a glance
Written by Brett Linton
September 3, 2024
SMU’s Monthly Review provides a summary of important steel market metrics for the previous month. Our latest report includes data updated through Aug. 30.
Following the low seen in mid-July, sheet prices gradually increased throughout August, supported by upcoming maintenance outages and mill price increases. Meanwhile, plate prices ticked lower across the month, a trend seen since late last year.
The SMU Price Momentum Indicator on sheet was adjusted from Neutral to Higher in the first week of August. The Price Momentum Indicator for plate remains at Lower, where it has been for four months.
Scrap prices were mostly sideways from July to August, ticking up $5-20 per gross ton. Buyers were mixed on what prices could do in September, with some expecting a decline and others foreseeing further recovery.
We saw an improvement in Steel Buyers Sentiment as we neared the end of August. Current Sentiment jumped to a two-month high last week, while Future Sentiment rose to a nine-month high.
Steel mill lead times edged higher across August but are not far from the multi-month lows seen in July. The percentage of buyers reporting that mills were willing to negotiate on new orders slightly declined from July to August, but remains at a relatively strong rate.
See the chart below for other key metrics for August.

Brett Linton
Read more from Brett LintonLatest in SMU Data and Models
SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.
SMU Survey: Current Sentiment sinks to lowest level since May 2020
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices both fell this week, with Current Steel Buyers’ Sentiment notching the lowest reading since May 2020.
Busheling and shredded tags drop, widening HRC vs. prime scrap spread
US scrap prices fell on busheling and shredded in October, while HMS remained flat, market sources told SMU.
SMU Survey: Lead times remain short
Steel mill lead times ticked lower across most sheet and plate products this week, according to responses from SMU’s latest market check.
SMU Survey: Mills more negotiable on spot orders
Mills are more willing to negotiate spot prices for both sheet and plate products, according to our latest market survey results.
