• Skip to main content

    Analysis

    Steel exports drop to 2-year low in December

    Written by Brett Linton


    The volume of steel that exited the country in the month of December fell to a two-year low, according to the latest data published by the US Department of Commerce. This marks the fourth month in a row that steel exports have declined, now at the lowest monthly rate recorded since December 2022.

    Steel exports declined 7% month on month (m/m) in December to 613,000 short tons (st), 27% less than the one-year high rate recorded four months prior (843,000 st). December exports were 26% less than the average monthly rate of 2024 (770,000 st). Compared to export levels one year prior, December was essentially flat (less than 1% lower). As evident in Figure 1, December typically holds the lowest export volume out of any other month of the year.

    Brett Linton

    Read more from Brett Linton

    Latest in Analysis

    Sheet prices surge as ’26 market squeeze spills into ’27

    Sheet prices soared this week as market participants increasingly predict that the strong market characterizing 2026 will stretch well into 2027. And with extremely limited spot availability, mills that have spot tons to sell are charging a significant premium, they said. The result: Sheet prices saw their highest week-over-week gains since March 2025, according to SMU's pricing records. That's when President Trump shocked the market by expanding Section 232 tariffs to cover traditional US allies such as Canada, Mexico, and the EU.

    Ferrous scrap prices seen rising in November

    Most SMU scrap sources are predicting a stronger scrap market for November. The increase in prices is generally thought be $20-30 per gross ton (gt) in most districts. However, there are differences of opinion about the upcoming price settlements. SMU spoke with a trading source in the Great Lakes region who told us mills in the Eastern Ohio and Western Pennsylvania regions are short on scrap. At least one buyer is offering to buy scrap at a $30/gt increase from October levels. He said most dealers have elected to wait to see where things settle before making commitments.

    SMU Community Chat: Data centers strong in uneven construction market, Simonson says

    Construction has been an uneven market over the last year, but data centers have been a bright spot. Ken Simonson, chief economist for the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) sat down with SMU Editor-in-Chief Michael Cowden last week for a Community Chat. In a far-ranging conversation, Simonson spoke on the current state of construction and wider issues in the economy. (For SMU Premium subscribers, you can watch replay of the entire interview here.)