Features

SMU Week in Review: March 31 - April 6
Written by Stephanie Ritenbaugh
April 5, 2025
The constant flow of information we all receive can be a bit overwhelming, but SMU is here to help with a weekly snapshot.
And… this week there are more tariffs. But, before that, here’s some late-breaking news from Friday.
The US Commerce Department released preliminary anti-dumping margins in a trade case targeted imports of coated flat-rolled steel, or CORE, from 10 countries. Certain countries and mills were hammered while others were largely spared. We have the details.
Meanwhile, President Trump’s so-called “Liberation Day” arrived on April 2, announcing reciprocal tariffs of 10%-49% on imports. But there are some very important exceptions: The United States’ USMCA partners, Canada and Mexico, are excluded from the reciprocal tariffs for now. In addition, steel, aluminum, as well as autos and auto parts are excluded from the reciprocal tariffs. That’s because they are already subject to Section 232 tariffs.
As you can imagine with something this sweeping, there are a lot of opinions. US steel trade groups representing mills had a far more positive reaction to Trump’s latest taxes than the leading recycled metals association. The American Iron and Steel Institute and Steel Manufacturers Association were widely supportive of the president’s measures on imports. But others are bracing for impact.
Still, quite frankly, tracking products at the border can be complicated, as our sister publication Aluminum Market Update, points out. The bottom line: keep your receipts.
Surveys
SMU’s Buyers’ Sentiment Indices declined. Current sentiment stands at its lowest level since the beginning of the year. Future sentiment is at its lowest level in nearly two years. And, SMU’s Current Scrap Buyers’ Sentiment Index remained flat this month, while the Future Sentiment Index declined. We have more details in the links above.
The week ahead highlights
Wednesday, April 9: Algoma Steel CEO Michael Garcia will be the featured guest on SMU’s Community Chat webinar at 11 a.m. ET. Register for free to join the timely conversation.
Thursday, April 10: Consumer price index
Friday, April 11: Producer price index

Stephanie Ritenbaugh
Read more from Stephanie RitenbaughLatest in Features

Final Thoughts
Despite some scary headlines lately (especially about Trump potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell) this is not October 2008 (financial crisis) or March 2020 (onset of the pandemic). But it sure seems like we’ve taken a relatively strong economy and poured a thick sauce of uncertainty over it.

CRU: Rising protectionism will continue to weigh on Chinese steel export prices
Chinese steel export prices are expected to remain stable or fall in the coming weeks as trade restrictions rise and tensions between the country and the US escalate.

Fed indicators signal healthy manufacturing sector
Recent Federal Reserve data paints a positive picture of the US manufacturing sector. Manufacturing indicators remained strong through February and March figures

Steel market chatter this week
Earlier this week, SMU polled steel buyers on an array of topics, ranging from market prices, demand, and inventories to tariffs, imports, and evolving market events.

Final Thoughts
I put some of our survey data through ChatGpt, with interesting results.