Australian steel producer BlueScope lowered its earnings estimate for FY 2019 based on margins and market conditions. BlueScope now expects an increase in underlying EBIT of 6 percent for the year, down from previous guidance of 10 percent. EBIT for FY 2019 is expected to be around $1.35 billion and $500 million for the second […]
More than 700 executives are registered with slightly more than two months to go before the start of the 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference. We continue to see strong interest in this year’s event, which will be held in Atlanta, Ga., on Aug. 26-28. Once again, the Georgia International Convention Center (www.gicc.com) will be the […]
More than 700 executives are registered with slightly more than two months to go before the start of the 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference. We continue to see strong interest in this year’s event, which will be held in Atlanta, Ga., on Aug. 26-28. Once again, the Georgia International Convention Center (www.gicc.com) will be the […]
There were many questions raised earlier this week about the announced new steelmaking and rolling capacities and whether those projects would indeed continue through completion. The questions came during various steel meetings held by analysts, steel mills, CRU and others in New York City. I participated in three events and found the question brought up […]
Last night, Steel Market Update participated in the annual Bank of America Merrill Lynch dinner hosted by metals and mining analyst Timna Tanners. We also spoke at the CRU Steel Briefing a little earlier in the day. Here are some of the key takeaways from those meetings. Mill Lead Times Short Flat rolled steel mill […]
Two of the biggest steel companies in the U.S. are expecting earnings to decline in the second quarter. Nucor and Steel Dynamics both cite lower shipments and inventory destocking as contributing factors. In guidance released on Monday, Nucor forecast earnings in the range of $1.20 to $1.25 per diluted share compared to $1.63 per share […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Chris Asgill Scrap supply has continued to outpace demand in most of the key scrap supply markets and CRU’s metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) has fallen a further 4.2 percent m/m to 231.2 (see chart). This is the lowest level for the indicator since June 2017. The depth of U.S. scrap price weakness surprised the […]
Truckload volumes were a disappointment in May, said DAT Solutions in their monthly report. Truckload volumes for van trailers, which haul about 70 percent of all truckload freight, declined 12 percent from April and were down 10 percent year-over year. Volume for flatbed trucks that haul steel, heavy machinery and construction material declined 9.3 percent […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive-level members. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Demand for long products is strong, driven by construction, while demand for sheet is declining, according to this SMU analysis of the latest data from the American Iron and […]
Private construction contracted in three months through April, but state and locally funded work, including infrastructure, is booming, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of Commerce Department data The Construction Put in Place (CPIP) expenditures data for April was released on June 3. Through April, total construction has had negative momentum every month this year […]
The rate of job creation in the U.S. in 2019 is slowing, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Net job creation in May was an unexpectedly low result of 75,000. To make matters worse, March was revised down by 36,000 and April was revised down by […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics issued a dismal employment report for May with the U.S. economy seeing a net gain of just 75,000 nonfarm jobs. Last month, 90,000 jobs were created in the private sector while government lost 15,000 positions. To put these figures in perspective, they should be considered over a longer time frame, […]
Suppliers of steel products to the HVAC industry find themselves stuck in a good news/bad news market. Demand remains good as the construction season ramps up, but pricing on galvanized steel continues to weaken. “Demand in the Southeast is still very good, even though there has been a painful devaluation of our inventory,” said one […]
Imported steel prices are no longer competitive with domestic steel mill pricing – even on light gauge galvanized and other specialty products that normally have gone to trading companies. Lead times are short, but as one steel executive put it to me this afternoon, “It’s not that the mills have no business. [For this time […]
The Dodge Momentum Index, a monthly measure of the initial report for nonresidential buildings in planning, slipped 1.4 percent in May to a reading of 141.0 from a revised reading of 142.4 in April. The commercial component of the index dropped 6.9 percent while the institutional component rose 8.1 percent. On a year-over-year basis, the […]
Results for First Four Months of 2019 Combined Show Ongoing Strength Aside from Single-Family Market; Association Officials Urge End to Tariffs That Pose Threat to Construction Costs and Demand AGC, June 7, 2019 — Construction spending was unchanged from March to April, with mixed results by project type for the month and for the year […]
Job growth in two industries vital to the steel industry, manufacturing and construction, showed signs of slowing in May. The U.S. added a total of just 75,000 jobs in May, well below the 180,000 to 185,000 jobs forecast by economists. In addition, the Labor Department revised employment levels downward for March and April. The March […]
The Georgia International Convention Center (www.gicc.com) as well as the three Gateway Hotels (Marriott, Renaissance and SpringHill Suites) are all conveniently located at the first stop of the free SkyTrain out of the Atlanta International Airport (ATL). The second stop on the SkyTrain is for car rentals. Our overflow hotel – the Atlanta Airport Marriott […]
2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference – A Sneak Peek – Day 1 Written by: John Packard, President & CEO, Steel Market Update RE: 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference, August 26-28, 2019 – Location: Georgia International Convention Center, Atlanta, GA The Georgia International Convention Center (www.gicc.com) as well as the three Gateway Hotels (Marriott, Renaissance and […]
The Coalition of American Metal Manufacturers and Users issued the following statement on the one-year anniversary (June 1) of full implementation of the Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum imports: The Coalition of American Metal Manufacturers and Users (CAMMU) is encouraged by the termination of Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs on Mexico and […]
Manufacturing in May grew at its slowest pace in two and a half years amid trade tensions and slower demand, reports the Institute for Supply Management. The PMI for the Manufacturing ISM Report on Business decreased 0.7 percentage points from April to a reading of 52.1 percent. The index for new orders gained one percentage […]
Key Market Indicator trends deteriorated in May and were the worst since October 2016, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis. This report is designed to be a big picture summary of data we have reported in detail during the month. In it we summarize 36 data streams that critically describe the state of the steel […]
China’s crude steel production in April exceeded an annualized rate of one billion tons for the first time as the Asian giant continues to grow its global market share, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of the latest World Steel Association data. On March 27, the OECD Steel Committee reported: “Low growth prospects for the […]
Construction employment expanded in 250 of 358 metro areas in the 12 months through April, according to the latest analysis of employment data by the Associated General Contractors of America. Employment declined in 53 areas and was unchanged in 55. Workforce shortage continues to be a problem for the construction industry, said AGC. “Demand for […]
The chairman of Mexican steel producer Altos Hornos de Mexico SAB was arrested on Tuesday in an anti-corruption probe, resulting in the freezing of AHMSA accounts and a possible disruption to steel production in Mexico. The investigation involves the sale by AHMSA of an idled fertilizer plant in 2014, allegedly worth $50 million, to oil […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores In the U.S. Midwest market, sheet prices have continued to decline on increased domestic, and now North American, supply. In addition to rising supply, falling scrap costs have also allowed EAF-based mills to remain competitive at these lower prices. It has now been one week since Canada and Mexico […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Iron ore prices continued to climb in the past week with a sharp price jump on Monday lifting prices to $108.0 /t on Tuesday, May 28. This translates to a $6.5 /t increase w/w. Seaborne supply outside of Minas Gerais is recovering. Supply from Port Hedland, although falling w/w, […]
Construction employment continues to increase in April, but the Associated General Contractors of America say that demand would support the hiring of more workers if they were available. AGC urges the government to enact immigration reform that would boost the supply of qualified workers. “Contractors face an ever-increasing challenge to find enough qualified workers to […]
Rail transport is a critical link in getting steel to market. With domestic mills cranking out steel at more than 80 percent of their capacity, are the railroads struggling to keep up? “People assume our business should be booming, but it’s not as straightforward as one would think,” said JR (Jim) Schaaf, Group Vice President […]
Demand for long products and tubular goods have shown strong growth, but sheet products are declining. This analysis by SMU staff is based on data from the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) and the U.S. Department of Commerce (DoC). The analysis summarizes total steel supply by product from 2003 through March 2019 and year-on-year […]