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    Tag: Mill Order Index

    SMU: MOI surge triggered by historically long lead times

    SMU’s Mill Order Index (MOI) surged in September, up for a fifth consecutive month and setting a record high. The increase came as service center on-order volumes and new mill order entries reached record highs—overtaking any prior high-water mark—including the post-pandemic snapback in demand, according to SMU’s latest service center inventory data. The MOI now stands at 162.7, up nearly 18% from 138.3 in August. The MOI was more than 35% above the average year-to-date (YTD) reading of 120.3, and up more than 100% year-on-year (y/y). Results suggest inventories remain uncomfortably lean as service centers try to restock in a market where spot tons are scarce, and contract tons are delayed. September intake surged by more than 21% month over month (m/m), exceeding outbound shipments by 15%. The result: service center inventories remained down more than 14% YTD vs. the same period a year earlier, even as shipments were ~3% higher.