Miller on Scrap: Does quiet August signal soft September?
August has been quiet thus far, with scrap suppliers working on completing their current orders as signals of a weaker September start to appear.
August has been quiet thus far, with scrap suppliers working on completing their current orders as signals of a weaker September start to appear.
SMU’s scrap prices remained largely flat to down in August as demand remains steady.
A sampling of responses and slides from our most recent ferrous scrap market survey.
The US domestic scrap market seemed to get off to a fast start on Tuesday, but things have begun to get drawn out again as mills are still considering August pricing. Several of the larger multi-mill buyers have not officially settled.
The August domestic scrap market looks like it might settle early amid continued strong demand for melting stock from domestic steelmakers and high prices for finished steel.
SMU’s scrap prices came in soft sideways in July, according to market sources.
The US scrap market has settled soft sideways in July, sources told SMU.
The scrap market for July is partially settled except for the three largest scrap buyers in the country.
Ferrous scrap prices for June came in sideways, scrap sources told SMU.
The bulk deep-sea export market in the Atlantic Basin has not shown much movement lately. Buyers in Turkey have limited their activity in an attempt to bring prices down in both the US and Northern Europe. However, this does not seem to be working to a significant extent.
The US domestic ferrous scrap market started to form on Thursday.
Current scrap market sentiment is again divided as we enter the summer month of June.
US scrap prices were mostly flat in May, with some upside on prime scrap, sources told SMU.
The May scrap market took much longer to settle than most players anticipated, but the results are mostly in.
The US domestic scrap market for May is forming a lightly bullish consensus opinion among the seller community.
There are several factors buttressing the ferrous scrap market against it seasonal fall in the spring months. We all know about the Iran War and the rise in fuel costs. Other factors include strong steelmaking activity, rising steel prices, lighter inbound scrap flows, and firm export markets.
US scrap prices came in flat on busheling in April, while shredded and HMS both traded down, sources told SMU.
The US scrap market has largely settled at prices most predicted in late March. The prevailing view then: shredded and other obsolete grades, like HMS, would drop $10-20 per gross ton (gt) despite higher transportation costs. And prime grades, like #1 busheling and bundles, would trade sideways thanks to better demand and static supply. This is essentially what has happened.
Since the middle of March I have been hearing that April scrap prices are going to be going down $20-$30 per gross ton (gt), with the exception of prime scrap, which is going to be sideways.
Prices for iron ore, aluminum, pig iron, and shredded scrap have all risen in the last 30 days. Busheling scrap held steady, while zinc and coking coal declined.
The US scrap market softened in March as most grades traded sideways, with prices seen falling next month, sources told SMU.
US ferrous scrap prices continued to rise in February, scrap sources told SMU.
US ferrous scrap prices rise in February.
The US domestic scrap market is largely settled on February pricing. Despite poor weather conditions that have been wreaking havoc on scrap flows and deliveries to consumers, the pricing initially agreed between dealers and steelmakers has been fairly conservative.
SMU’s February ferrous scrap market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.
All but one of the steelmaking raw materials we track increased in price over the last month
Speculation has already begun on what February has in store for the US scrap market after it rose $20-30 per gross ton (gt) in January,
Ferrous scrap prices jumped on all the products SMU tracks in January, scrap sources said.
The formation of the domestic scrap market for January shipments is underway and only partially settled as of this article's publication. The main point of contention is the price of #1 busheling and bundles.
US ferrous scrap prices have picked up in December, sources told SMU.