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    Analysis

    Final Thoughts

    Written by Michael Cowden


    United Airlines raised eyebrows earlier this month when it provided two forecasts for 2025 – one assuming a relatively stable economy and another assuming a recession.

    The reason? Uncertainty around the impact of President Trump’s policy shocks on the broader economy. And it sometimes feels like we’re seeing a battle between those two narratives (stable vs. recession) play out in the pages of this newsletter.

    Michael Cowden

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