SMU Data and Models

SMU Market Trends: Split on Impact of 232
Written by Tim Triplett
January 13, 2019
Steel Market Update asked: Are the Section 232 tariffs negatively impacting your business? The market is evenly split on the subject. About half of those responding to SMU’s questionnaire this week—primarily service center and OEM executives—say they have been hurt by the tariffs, while the other half say the tariffs have had no direct effect.
Most of the comments SMU received came from companies that view the tariffs negatively:
• “We’re beginning to see some hits to demand due to the 232s.”
• “Some of our customers are outsourcing overseas now.”
• “The tariff is just turning it into a spot market environment, where everyone is afraid to go long, mills are cutting deals with end users completely different than service centers, and brokers are just churning inventory for cash.”
• “The extra price volatility is causing a great deal of pain since service centers sell on actual cost when prices are going up and on replacement cost on the way down.”
• “Adding 25 percent makes some sources less competitive, and quotas restrict supply artificially.”
• “Not sure we’ve been able to pass along all the material increases.”
• “We are eating the tariffs.”
• “Now that demand has softened, the domestic mills cannot strong arm us like they tried earlier in 2018.”

Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models

May service center shipments and inventories report
Flat rolled = 57.1 shipping days of supply Plate = 55.7 shipping days of supply Flat rolled US service centers reined in flat roll supply in May, coinciding with declining shipments. At the end of May, service centers carried 57.1 shipping days of supply, according to adjusted SMU data. That’s down slightly from 57.6 shipping […]

Survey says: Market hit with another blast of tariff whiplash
If you’re feeling a sudden jerk and a case of tariff whiplash coming on, you’re not alone.

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Past survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment sinks to near pandemic levels
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices moved in opposing directions this week. Our Current Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Index sharply fell to one of the lowest levels recorded in five years, while Future Buyers’ Sentiment marginally improved.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times tick higher after late-May lows
All five of the averages for sheet and plate mill lead times tracked by SMU extended moderately this week, according to buyers responding to our latest market survey.