Prices
March 10, 2020
CRU: Saudi-Russia Price War Begins as Oil Crashes 30 Percent
Written by Ross Cunningham
By CRU Senior Cost Economist Ross Cunningham, additional analysis by Ippolito Tarabini and Will Young
The oil market is currently facing a large degree of uncertainty. Oil prices could feasibly remain around $40/bbl for a significant period of time. Three key judgements will determine CRU’s oil price forecast for 2020: (I) the extent to which Covid-19 will be successfully contained, which would secure a mild recovery of oil demand; (II) how long can the two antagonists of the oil price war—Saudi Arabia and Russia—hold out; and (III) the resilience of the heavily indebted U.S. shale industry.

