Market Data

SMU's December At-a-Glance
Written by Brett Linton
January 5, 2021
Strong demand and tight supply pushed steel prices upwards throughout December, with hot rolled prices nearing quadruple digits as 2020 came to a close. Steel Market Update’s hot rolled price index reached $985 per ton by the end of December, up $180 per ton or 22 percent from the beginning of the month. The SMU Pricing Momentum Indicator remained at Higher, indicating prices are expected to rise further over the next 30 days. Scrap prices increased by $80-100 per ton compared to the month prior, while zinc prices remained relatively steady and aluminum prices declined by 2 percent.
The SMU Buyers Sentiment Index remained optimistic, slightly declining to +61 as of late-December. The three-month moving average reached +64.67 as of Dec. 23, the highest reading since October 2018.
Key indicators of steel demand overall remained positive. The ISM Manufacturing Index continued to indicate further expansion in the economy. Construction spending increased from September to November, while the AIA Billings Index and private employment growth both declined. Total U.S. steel imports and exports rose from September to October.
See the chart below for other key metrics in the month of December:

By Brett Linton, Brett@SteelMarketUpdate.com
Brett Linton
Read more from Brett LintonLatest in Market Data
Chicago Business Barometer improves but still contracts in October
The Chicago Business Barometer’s October reading still indicates a cooling in general business activity despite posting a surprise gain.
Drilling activity slows at October’s end in US and Canada
The latest Baker Hughes rig count report showed oil and gas drilling slowing in both the US and Canada last week.
SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.
SMU Steel Demand Index improves but remains in contraction
SMU’s Steel Demand Index remains in contraction, according to late October indicators. Though growth faded at a slower pace, it rebounded from one of the lowest readings year-to-date from earlier in the month.
SMU Mill Order Index fell in September
SMU’s Mill Order Index declined in September after repeated gains from June through August. The shift came as service center shipping rates and inventories fell.
