Economy

Near-Term Economic Activity Remains Stable: PMA
July 28, 2023
Most metal formers predict business conditions will remain stable over the next three months, according to the July 2023 Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report.
PMA’s July report said that 55% of the metal-forming companies the association surveyed expect no change in general economic activity in the next three months vs. 58% in June. Thirty-four percent see a fall in activity compared with 32% a month earlier, and 11% predict a rise in activity, up marginally from 10%.
“Metalforming manufacturers’ reporting of business activity remains consistent, despite rising costs, and ongoing challenges with supply-chain disruptions and finding workers,” PMA president David Klotz said in a statement on July 25.
“Our members are pleased that the House Ways and Means Committee recently approved a tax bill that included many of PMA’s priorities to boost US manufacturing competitiveness,” he added.
Other notable data include these: 18% survey respondents expect in increase incoming orders, a modest decrease from 20% in June. Forty-six percent predicted no change vs. 44% a month earlier, and 36% forecast a decrease, the same result as in June.
As for shipping levels, 19% reported a rise, down from 27% in June; 53% reported no change, nearly even with 52% a month earlier; and 28% reported a decline, up from 21%.
Lead times decreased for the third straight month in July, PMA said. Only 7% of metal-forming companies reported increased lead times compared to 10% in June.
The report is prepared monthly, according to PMA, and provides an economic indicator for the next three months of manufacturing. It samples 116 metal-forming companies in the US and Canada.
By Ethan Bernard, ethan@steelmarketupdate.com
Latest in Economy

ABI Index Drops in August
August’s Architecture Billings Index (ABI) reading from the American Institute of Architects (AIA) and Deltek showed a moderate decrease.

Beige Book: Economic Activity Appears Stable
The US Federal Reserve said that although overall economic activity was modest in July and August, per its latest Beige Book Report released on Sept. 6, the report was still slightly more optimistic than the previous one.
Dodge Momentum Declines in August on Tighter Lending
The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI) moved lower in August, driven by a slowdown in planning from tighter lending standards, according to the latest data from the Dodge Construction Network (DCN).

ISM PMI Shows 10 Months of Decline in Manufacturing Activity
Activity in the US manufacturing sector continues to slow, according to the latest monthly report on business from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
Chicago Business Barometer Rises for Third Consecutive Month
The Chicago Business Barometer edged up in August. This is the third consecutive monthly increase according to the latest indicators from Market News International (MNI) and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).