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    David Feldstein, SMU Contributor

    May 22, 2025

    HR Futures: Curve lower on weak 'soft' data. Will 'hard' data ride to the rescue?

    Written by David Feldstein

    David Feldstein is the president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock Trading Advisors is a National Futures Association Member Commodity Trade Advisory. It provides commercial clients with price risk solutions in ferrous, energy, and interest rate derivatives markets.

    After ripping higher following President Trump’s announcement of 25% tariffs on steel imports, Midwest HRC futures went on another round-trip. They ended March not far from where they started in early February.

    David Feldstein, SMU Contributor

    David Feldstein

    SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. David has over 20 years of financial market trading experience and has been active in the ferrous futures space since 2012. Feldstein earned an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business with concentrations in economics, statistics and analytical finance. He can be reached at davefeldstein@gmail.com.

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    Latest in Prices

    Nucor increases spot HR to $1,240/ton

    Nucor said on Monday, Oct. 12, that its consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil will be $1,240 per short ton (st) this week, a $10/st increase from a week earlier. The CSP for HR coil from California Steel Industries (CSI) on the West Coast will be $1,305/st, up $15/st from the prior week. Nucor is still offering lead times of three to five weeks, according to the letter to customers. You can track mill price announcements on our website. Steel Market Update (SMU) published a weekly price assessment on Tuesday, Oct. 6, showing HR coil prices averaging $1,270/st, up $10/st from the previous week. We will update our prices on the evening of Tuesday, Oct. 13.

    Leibowitz: US steel prices skyrocket above world prices. Which are right?

    Steel markets in the United States now feature supply shortages. Spot tons are well-nigh unavailable, and even contract tons are scarce. Based on the available statistics, the US market for flat-rolled products is seriously constrained. The US economy is still the strongest in the world, and manufacturing output remains vigorous. But the available supply is tight. The reason is fairly obvious. US domestic supply has increased a bit. Meanwhile, imports have fallen significantly.