• Skip to main content

    Market Data

    supply

    January 13, 2026

    Steel imports remain muted through December

    Written by Brett Linton

    According to recently released final US Commerce Department data, US steel imports rebounded 11% month on month (m/m) in October 2025 after falling to a multi-year low one month earlier. The latest license figures suggest imports eased back by 3% in November and by another 2% in December, with trade again nearing historical lows.

    The total volume of steel products that entered the country in October was 1.73 million short tons (st). This comes just one month after total imports fell to 1.56 million mt, the lowest rate witnessed since December 2020. The latest license data shows 1.68 million st of material was imported in November and 1.64 million st in December, potentially the second and third-lowest monthly totals recorded since 2020.

    Brett Linton

    Brett Linton is a digital operations analyst for Steel Market Update, where he began his career. Linton has been in the steel industry since 2010. He has held roles as a category manager and strategic insights director at Reibus before returning to SMU in 2024. He is a graduate of The University of North Georgia with a degree in Finance and Accounting. Brett can be reached at brett@steelmarketupdate.com or 724-314-0179.

    Read more from Brett Linton

    Latest in Market Data

    AISI: US steel production slips again

    Domestic raw steel output declined last week, moving lower for a second straight week after seeing notable swings over the prior several weeks, according to the latest American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) figures. Over the past six weeks, US production has fluctuated significantly, hitting a multi-year high and a six-month low. While the seesaw pattern has been extreme, output has mostly trended lower since peaking in May. And despite repeated declines in recent weeks, output remains strong compared to recent years. AISI estimated total US raw steel mill output to be 1,769,000 short tons (st) in the week ending Oct. 10 (Figure 1). Production was down 5,000 st (0.3%) from the prior week, driven by a decline in just one of five regions. So far this year, we have seen weekly production rise as high as 1,900,000 st in early September (a six-year high) and fall as low as 1,704,000 st at the start of the year.

    US shipments of heating and cooling equipment slow further in August

    Total shipments of heating and cooling equipment cooled further in August, according to the latest figures from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). After falling 11% month on month (m/m) in July, shipments slipped another 10% in August. The monthly pace marks the third-slowest shipment rate year-to-date. Shipments of water heaters, air conditioners, and heat pumps declined m/m, while warm-air furnace shipments picked up. Compared with a year earlier, only air conditioners and heat pumps increased.

    The words "Aluminum Market Update" in white against a dark blue background

    AMU: Edward Meir’s week in review and thoughts for the week of Oct. 12, 2026

    Base metals had a mixed week. Tin lost almost 4% on the week, finishing at $53,000/ton. Prices dropped to a low of $51,259/ton at one point. Aluminum was another loser, off by about 1.6% on the week. Investors are expecting more aluminum supply going forward, especially out of China and Indonesia. Copper prices tacked on 1.1%. They have now recovered more than half of the $700/ton loss sustained (over the course of a week) following reports/rumors in mid-September that US tariffs on refined copper imports might not proceed after all.

    worldsteel expects steady global steel demand in 2026, growth in 2027

    The World Steel Association (worldsteel) forecasts flat steel demand in 2026, as contraction in China and disruption in the Gulf region offset growth in India and other markets, including the US. Global demand is expected to rise slightly in 2027. The Brussels-based association’s Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2026 pegs global steel demand at 1,722 million metric tons (mt), essentially unchanged from 2025. For 2027, worldsteel forecasts 1.7% growth to 1,752 million mt. “The trajectory we set out in April holds, but the anticipated recovery is proving slower and more gradual than we had expected,” commented Alfonso Hidalgo de Calcerrada, chair of the worldsteel Economics Committee. “Global steel demand is now forecast to be flat in 2026 rather than to grow modestly, and to grow by 1.7% in 2027 rather than 2.2%. Almost the whole of that revision is a China story,” Calcerrada added.