Category: SMU

Oil and gas drill rig activity in the US inched lower last week while holding steady in Canada, according to the latest report from oilfield services provider Baker Hughes.

Lead times for hot-rolled coil and plate have moved out a little, according to our latest survey data. Brett Linton has the details here. I think that might reflect some restocking and a host of fall maintenance outages – many of which are happening in September/October. But lead times aren't galloping away like some of the more bullish corners of the market might have hoped. And those for cold-rolled and coated products are largely unchanged.

Three out of four of our market survey respondents report that steel mills are open to negotiating new order prices this week, a slight decline compared to our previous market check.

Steel buyers continue to report short mill lead times for both sheet and plate products, according to SMU's latest canvass of the market. Lead times for hot-rolled and plate products marginally increased from our late July survey, likely due to limited restocking in anticipation of upcoming mill outages for scheduled maintenance.

This Premium analysis covers North American oil and natural gas prices, drilling rig activity, and crude oil stock levels. Trends in energy prices and rig counts are an advanced indicator of demand for oil country tubular goods (OCTG), line pipe, and other steel products.

US hot-rolled (HR) coil prices are nearly even with prices for offshore material on a landed basis as domestic tags continue to inch up.

Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive members. For information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, contact info@steelmarketupdate.com. Flat rolled = 64.2 shipping days of supply Plate = 60.9 shipping days of supply Flat rolled Flat-rolled steel supply at US service centers grew in July with restocking as […]

SMU’s sheet prices increased across the board this week, marking the third consecutive week of rising prices, while plate prices held stable.

The countdown is on! In less than two weeks, we’ll kick off the 2024 SMU Steel Summit. This year is poised to be the best attended yet. More than 1,350 delegates have already registered – so we’re within sight of last year’s record number of nearly 1,450. I’m looking forward to learning from executives across […]

Nucor’s weekly consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil is unchanged from last week at $690/ton.

I asked in a prior Final Thoughts where some of you thought Nucor’s weekly spot HR price would land. One opinion: $720 per short ton (st). That would allow the Charlotte, N.C.-based steelmaker to one up competitor Cleveland-Cliffs and to re-establish its position as a market leader.

After nearing a two-year high in May, the volume of finished steel entering the US market (referred to as ‘apparent steel supply’) receded in June, according to SMU’s latest analysis of data from the Department of Commerce and the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI).

Total US steel exports declined again in June, down 2% month-on-month (m/m) to 773,000 short tons (st) according to the latest US Department of Commerce data.

June steel import data was finalized at 2.15 million short tons (st) this week, down 24% from May according to the latest US Commerce Department release. June represents the lowest monthly import rate seen this year. July import licenses now tally up to 2.29 million st as of Aug. 4, potentially recovering 6% from June. […]

It’s buy week again for ferrous scrap. US steelmakers are expected to offer their prices for August shipment this week. Most of the dealers and brokers RMU has quizzed believe the market has enough traction to hold sideways and even go up.

Earlier this week, SMU polled steel buyers on an array of topics, ranging from market prices, demand, and inventories to imports and evolving market events.

The US sheet market appears to have reached a bottom following consistent weekly declines since April. However, other markets remain weak due to limited demand. Trading in Europe has been slow due to summer holidays. While European mills are also undergoing maintenance outages, these have not been enough to offset ongoing price falls, with weak […]

SMU has adjusted its sheet momentum indicator from neutral to higher for the first time since early April. The shift comes on the back of price hikes for leading sheet mills Nucor and Cleveland-Cliffs.

SMU’s sheet prices rose by an average of $10 per short ton (st) this week on most products, the second consecutive week of recovering prices. Aside from the marginal uptick seen last week, this is the first instance of increasing sheet prices since the first week of April.

The United Steelworkers (USW) union has praised Vice President Kamala Harris’ choice of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) as her running mate. 

Nucor intends to keep plate prices unchanged with the opening of its September order book, according to a letter to customers dated Tuesday, Aug. 6.

Domestic steel mill output eased last week for the second consecutive week, according to the latest release by the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). Although production has declined, it remains relatively on the high side compared to rates seen across this year.

The wind energy sector continues to be a key feature of our forecasts for steel plate demand. As overall demand in China slows, it will assume a greater importance in shaping future global trends.

Nucor has raised its consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil to $690 per short ton (st), up $15/st from last week. This marks the second consecutive week the company has sought an increase.

It might be the dog days of summer. But it’s been a newsy week for steel. Let’s start on the trade front, where we had a big decision in a case before the Commerce Department about Vietnam’s market status. Ethan Bernard covered the news. Commerce determined that Vietnam remained a “non-market economy,” or NME, based on factors such as government control over private property, labor conditions, and one-party rule. What’s also notable, and which Wiley trade attorney Alan Price points out in a good column on the matter, is that Commerce’s decision cannot be appealed.

SMU’s Monthly Review articles summarize important steel market metrics for the prior month. Our July report contains figures updated through July 31.

The construction sector added 25,000 jobs in July, driven by improved wage gains according to the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC).

Following an uptick in mid-July, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices both eased this week. Current Buyers Sentiment has been see-sawing for the past few months, now back down to one of the lowest readings recorded since August 2020.

US drill rig activity resumed its downward trend last week according to the latest data from Baker Hughes. Meanwhile Canadian counts ticked higher for the fifth consecutive week. They now stand near a five-month high.

The latest SMU market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Historical survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if your […]