Welcome to 2019! As we begin the New Year, I want to welcome everyone back to their offices or plants. I am looking forward to another interesting year as we continue to deal with the effects of Steel 232, anti-dumping and countervailing duties, threats of Section 232 for automotive and Section 301 on finished goods […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is sharing the following Premium content with all its readers in this issue. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Table 1 summarizes the price changes through December of the five materials considered in this report. It reports the month/month, 3 months/3 months and […]
So, we have our service center inventories at 2.5 months of supply, down slightly from the 2.6 months we got from our distributor data suppliers the previous month. This is not from our survey; we decided to put that data aside as it was suspect – it had both buyers and sellers contributing to the […]
We have opened registration for the 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference, which will be at the Georgia International Convention Center in Atlanta on Aug. 28-30, 2019. We anticipate that 1,000 executives from the manufacturers, service centers, steel mills, trading companies, fabricators, toll processors and others associated with these industries will be in attendance. “I have […]
Editor’s note: CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg contributed the following snapshot of the iron ore market, and steel demand, in China and India. Chinese Production Cuts Cause Market Volatility China’s winter heating season production cuts officially started in mid-November and it quickly became clear that this round of production cuts was not as strict as […]
There is a “new domestic” steel minimill capable of producing 1.5 million tons per year of steel from scrap. On Friday, JSW USA restarted the electric arc furnace at the JSW Ohio steel plant at Mingo Junction and cast their first domestically produced slab. “The last month has been incredibly butt hard work,” said JSW […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
A new American Steel Index report by Business Forward shows U.S. steel prices have risen 7.4 percent since February, while foreign steel prices have fallen 9.8 percent. As a result, American manufacturers are paying 17.2 percent more for hot- and cold-rolled steel than their foreign competitors. “President Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum are increasing […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Helen O’Cleary Zinc’s price shed more than $1,000/t from its 2018 high in the mid-$3,500s in February to its year-to-date low of $2,311 in September, driven down by a combination of factors both in its own market fundamentals and in the broader political and economic landscape. The warranting of 78,950t in […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Helen O’Cleary The global transition towards sustainable energy sources is set to accelerate over the coming decades as some of the world’s largest consumers of energy look to reduce carbon emissions, with the USA and EU targeting net zero emissions by 2050 and China by 2060. In this Insight, we bring […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor The steel sheet market in North America is starting the second half of the year off with the same primary trends seen in the past few quarters: rising prices due to strong demand and supply that continues to be affected by unplanned disruptions. […]
By CRU Senior Editor Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor Upward momentum for the CRU metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) slowed in July, but still rose by 2.8% m/m to 413.5. Metallics price increases were strongest in Europe amid high steel demand, with both HBI and scrap prices there rising from June levels. Scrap […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: There are several currents surrounding the steel tariffs this holiday season. As we enjoy the end of this year, I am looking at the first few months of 2019 and how the steel trade situation could evolve. • […]
Ferrous scrap prices are down sharply in January, settling $30 to $40 per ton lower than December, report Steel Market Update sources. The decline was a surprise to many as scrap prices typically rebound in January following seasonal slowness at the end of the year. CRU Steel Analyst Ryan McKinley noted that this is the […]
Editor’s note: The following analysis of the U.S. rod and bar market was contributed by CRU Steel Analyst Ryan McKinley. Steel Market Update will periodically expand its coverage of the steel market with long products content from CRU as an added benefit to our members. U.S. mills announced wire rod price increases of $1.50/cwt across […]
It has been a busy week for Steel Market Update. I spoke at the HARDI annual conference in Austin, Texas, on Sunday and I was in Atlanta on Tuesday evening and Wednesday working with our web developers. I am in the office on Friday. Next week I will be in Toledo, Ohio, on Monday through […]
By the CRU Group Economics Team The meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and President Trump on Dec. 1 turned out to be better than expected. According to the White House press release and Chinese official reports, tariffs will not rise from their current levels over the next 90 days. Both sides agreed to enter immediate […]
On Sunday, the HARDI galvanized steel council met to discuss what has been happening in the industry that is impacting their relationship with their steel suppliers. John Packard, President & CEO of Steel Market Update, along with Josh Spoores, Senior Analyst for CRU, discussed the status of steel prices and the forecast for 2019. The […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
It has been a beautiful weekend in Austin, Texas, where I spoke earlier today (Sunday) at the annual HARDI conference. I spoke at the steel council, which consists of HVAC wholesalers who sell galvanized sheet/coil products, manufacturers supplying the wholesalers and a couple of service centers who sell galvanized sheet and coil to the wholesalers. […]
Both Steel Market Update and the CRU Group forecast lower steel prices next year. With a new North America free trade agreement soon to be signed, the U.S. is likely to lift or modify the Section 232 tariffs on Canada and Mexico, opening the borders to more imports and adding to the downward pressure on […]
Editor’s note: The following global perspective was contributed by the CRU Group’s international team of steel analysts. Steel sheet prices are trending downward in most parts of the world. North America Sheet prices in the U.S. Midwest market continued to decline with HR and CR coil prices falling the most. Declines have come alongside weak […]
We had a great webinar on Wednesday, despite some technical glitches. I am looking forward to making webinars a standard practice for Steel Market Update. We do not yet have a date/subject set up for the next webinar. I am traveling this weekend and early next week. I will be speaking on Sunday morning in […]
After rising in October and November, ferrous scrap prices are expected to move sideways in December with the possibility of a small $10 per ton increase for some grades. But weakness overseas complicates predictions longer term, say Steel Market Update sources. “December is generally a month when scrap prices rise,” said CRU North America Steel […]
The announcement by General Motors today is going to be a precursor for more bad news, in my opinion. With every action there is a reaction, and the expectation that raising steel prices by an extra 25 percent (and more) would not have an impact on the competitiveness of U.S. made products is being short-sighted. […]
Last week, Steel Market Update conducted our mid-November analysis of the flat rolled and plate steel market trends. During the process, we reviewed demand, lead times, negotiations, service center spot pricing, steel pricing and a myriad of other important issues of interest to buyers and sellers of hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, Galvalume and plate […]
By the CRU Zinc Analysis Team After reaching a 3-month high above $2,700/t on Oct. 24, zinc’s price shed $200/t in a matter of days as a tech stock rout caused shares to plunge in Asia and the USA, compounded by concerns over the outlook for global trade and economic growth. The tide briefly turned […]
Steel buyers can be fickle people. They are tasked with keeping their company in product, and that those purchases be competitively priced at the time they are used. This is a daunting task when markets ebb and flow, and even more difficult when the government decides to become a major player in determining who will […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel import prices (delivered to USA ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other […]
By Lisa Morrison, CRU Principal Economist As of Nov. 15, with votes still to be counted in some districts, the Democrats had won 230 seats, and Republicans 199 seats, in the House of Representatives, where 218 of 435 seats constitutes a majority. Democrats that were elected by flipping a Republican seat are a more varied […]