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    Analysis

    CRU: Sheet import demand softens as domestic price gains have slowed

    Written by Brett Reed & Diego Giangreco


    Price gains seen across US domestic steel sheet prices have started to slow. Pulled-forward demand over the past few months means that orders are beginning to decline, and many in the market are waiting to see where prices go domestically.

    As a result, fewer buyers have expressed interest in taking a risk on imports. Not only could tariffs be changed overnight by the current administration (as happened in 2019), but also price volatility has shown that current offers can quickly become uncompetitive. Moreover, preliminary antidumping margins were set on imports from 10 countries for corrosion-resistant products. Some of these were set as high as 50% for a Canadian supplier, 138% for a Brazilian producer, and 88% for imports from Vietnam.

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    Ferrous scrap market chatter this month

    Every month, SMU polls participants in the ferrous scrap market on a variety of topics, including prices. This month's survey results landed just as the November scrap market was starting to settle. Preliminary results show scrap prices rose across the board for all the products SMU tracks. Final prices will be in SMU later this week. As the final numbers come in, we'd like to share where survey respondents thought prices would be on busheling, shredded, and HMS scrap, as well as where they see prices heading over the next 60 days.

    November scrap prices rise as market nears settle

    November scrap procurement has commenced in the US with buyers divided on the price increases from the previous month. Several mills reportedly sought a rise of $20 per gross ton (gt) while others saw $30/gt as the number. The $30/gt price tag mainly applies to the obsolete grades, like shredded, P&S and #1 HMS, with prime grades pulling up the rear at $20. SMU spoke to a Chicago-based source who said that market was up $30/gt and 20/gt on shredded and busheling, respectively. He also mentioned the integrated mills in this district are after heavier grades like P&S and railroad grades, like wheels. These grades have been in short supply since last summer. Our source believes they commanded prices up $30/gt while busheling was at plus $20.

    SMU scrap market survey results now available

    SMU’s November ferrous scrap market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the Pricing and Analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for Ferrous Scrap Survey results. Past scrap survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results or if your company would like to have your voice heard in our future surveys, contact smu@crugroup.com.