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    CRU

    CRU: Tariffs set to dampen global auto growth

    Written by David Leah


    Key takeaways

    Global Production: The recently announced US tariffs on vehicles and key components from all markets are expected to significantly disrupt global production. We have significantly revised our outlook downward for the short to medium term. Markets with high exposure to the US, such as Mexico, Canada, South Korea, Japan, and Europe, are likely to experience weaker output. China, India, and Brazil are expected to drive global growth this year.

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    CRU: HR coil futures re-price 2027 forward curve

    CME Group’s hot-rolled coil futures have jumped higher as the loss of a reheating line at a large Southern mill have renewed domestic production issues. At market close on Oct. 12, the Q4'26 futures are now pricing in $1,295 per short ton (st) for HR coil, a month-over-month (m/m) increase of $63/st. For 2027, the forward curve is up $80 /st vs. September, at $1,207/st. For November 2026 through March 2027, prices are at an average just above $1,300/st.